Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $7.05
- Potential payout
- $1.41K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$35.95
Polymarket Trader
0x76902bb8EBD85B84C570b98750B962E5d3F9C04F-1776769111085
0x76902bb8ebd85b84c570b98750b962e5d3f9c04f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $527.67
- Realized PnL
- $361.12
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $11.27
- Potential payout
- $1.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$115.73
Yes position
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $48.25
- Potential payout
- $955.4
- Potential profit
- $907.15
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $8.25
No position
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $739.93
- Potential profit
- $739.93
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $23.46
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $223.53
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$25.33
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $20.5
- Potential payout
- $241.19
- Potential profit
- $220.69
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$7.5
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 60.6%
- Current value
- $140.16
- Potential payout
- $231.48
- Potential profit
- $91.32
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- -$9.84
Yes position
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 73%
- Current value
- $153.81
- Potential payout
- $210.7
- Potential profit
- $56.89
- Multiplier
- 1.37x
- User PnL
- $93.81
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Current value
- $41.43
- Potential payout
- $180.12
- Potential profit
- $138.69
- Multiplier
- 4.35x
- User PnL
- -$3.57
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $41.95
- Potential payout
- $100.01
- Potential profit
- $58.06
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- $0.29
Y
Yes position
Iran full airspace closure by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.1%
- Current value
- $5.7
- Potential payout
- $93.46
- Potential profit
- $87.76
- Multiplier
- 16.39x
- User PnL
- -$4.3
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.23
- Potential profit
- $84.23
- User PnL
- -$12.5
Yes position
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $16.77
- Potential payout
- $81.82
- Potential profit
- $65.05
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $2.96
- Potential payout
- $76.93
- Potential profit
- $73.97
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$7.04
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $73.7
- Potential profit
- $73.7
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $9.69
- Potential payout
- $62.5
- Potential profit
- $52.81
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- -$0.31
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $58.82
- Potential profit
- $58.82
- User PnL
- -$10
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.35
- Potential profit
- $54.35
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $36.67
- Potential profit
- $36.67
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.32
- Potential profit
- $32.32
- User PnL
- -$9
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
Ends May 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31.25
- Potential profit
- $31.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Current value
- $4.66
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $18.07
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.73
- Potential profit
- $22.73
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $82.96
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.52
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?
Ends Jul 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $40.25
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.28
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33.84
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.87
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.15
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.41
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.47
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.27
Yes position
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $2.49
No position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $2.25
Yes position
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 23%
- Multiplier
- 4.36x
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 28.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.51x
- User PnL
- $0.74
Yes position
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- $0.57
Y
Yes position
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.5
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.3%
- Multiplier
- 9.76x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran leadership change by December 31?Yes 16% 62.5 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?Yes 64.8% 231.48 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 10.7% 93.46 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 27% 74.07 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by July 15?Yes 26.9% 74.48 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 41.7% 100 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes 7% 187.5 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 9.5% 163.15 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 17% 234.38 shares
- Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes 17.8% 112.55 shares
- Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026?Yes 0.1% 1,642.57 shares
- Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?Yes 29% 68.97 shares