Yes position
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Current value
- $521.5
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $178.5
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$94.25
Polymarket Trader
Man0000001
0x76a4d01eef40a3059c1f8ee13eb2ce3ec95d578c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $1.32K
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $9.45
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $690.55
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- -$60.43
No position
Trump out as President before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $108.82
- Potential payout
- $117.65
- Potential profit
- $8.82
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $8.82
Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.05
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.6%
- Current value
- $1.55
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.45
- Multiplier
- 64.52x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $99.25
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.55
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.2%
- Current value
- $94.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5.85
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.15
Yes position
Will Jack Reed be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?
Ends Sep 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.5%
- Current value
- $96.45
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $3.55
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $6.45
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the RI-01 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $95
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $5
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $1.35
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $98.65
- Multiplier
- 74.07x
- User PnL
- $0.05
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?
Ends Nov 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.04
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.96
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Y
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $28.05
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $1.95
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?
Ends Sep 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 76%
- Current value
- $16.72
- Potential payout
- $22
- Potential profit
- $5.28
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Current value
- $9.77
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.23
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Jason Miyares win the 2025 Virginia Attorney General election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.02K
Yes position
Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $218.64
No position
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181
Yes position
Will reconciliation bill be passed by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.26
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.58
No position
Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.2
No position
Trump out as President by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.19
No position
Will Kevin Warsh attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56
No position
Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Will Nicki Minaj attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will María Corina Machado attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Gianni Infantino attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?
Ends Sep 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.37
Yes position
Will the next reconciliation bill be passed on or after September 1?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$18.72
No position
Will Trump say "Election" while addressing the nation on December 17?
Ends Dec 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.07
No position
Will Abigail Spanberger win the Virginia Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.78
No position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$36.05
Yes position
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$52.09
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.2% 99.85 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 100 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.3% 100 shares
- Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 1.8% 100 shares
- Will Ed Markey be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Massachusetts?Yes 71% 22 shares
- Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No 91.2% 10 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the DE-AL House seat?Yes 93% 30 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the CT-05 House seat?Yes 88% 30 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-03 House seat?Yes 92% 30 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 95% 99.7 shares
- Will the Democratic Party win the MA-04 House seat?Yes 93% 100 shares