Polymarket Trader

WindsonC

@Windson_go

0x76aaa258dd917fb6e50f19aedaf1ca189a08c4f4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.33K
Realized PnL: $40.72
Win rate: 14.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 7
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $5.21K
Potential payout: $5.89K
Potential profit: $677.49
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $213.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $1.99K
Potential payout: $4.09K
Potential profit: $2.11K
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: -$14.29

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $626.33
Potential payout: $3.91K
Potential profit: $3.29K
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: -$1.37K

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.86K
Potential payout: $3.18K
Potential profit: $1.32K
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$139.4

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $1.6K
Potential payout: $3.15K
Potential profit: $1.54K
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: -$395.25

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 70.9%
Current value: $2.05K
Potential payout: $2.89K
Potential profit: $841.58
Multiplier: 1.41x
User PnL: $45.5

Yes position

Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $835.16
Potential payout: $2.88K
Potential profit: $2.04K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$1.16K

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 75.7%
Current value: $2.13K
Potential payout: $2.81K
Potential profit: $682.59
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $131.06

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 43%
Current value: $1.08K
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $1.43K
Multiplier: 2.33x
User PnL: -$924

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $2.21K
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $286.55
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $205.17

Yes position

Anthropic IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $2.42K
Potential profit: $520.69
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$98.87

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2.36K
Potential profit: $1.19K
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$832.32

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $1.91K
Potential payout: $2.35K
Potential profit: $447.15
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: -$93.73

No position

Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.3K
Potential profit: $287.67
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $13.66

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.9%
Current value: $2.1K
Potential payout: $2.29K
Potential profit: $186.59
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $104.3

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88%
Current value: $1.98K
Potential payout: $2.25K
Potential profit: $269.91
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$20.69

Yes position

Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 97.1%
Current value: $2.17K
Potential payout: $2.24K
Potential profit: $64.83
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $170.77

No position

Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 86.1%
Current value: $1.92K
Potential payout: $2.23K
Potential profit: $310.54
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$76.44

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 91.5%
Current value: $2.04K
Potential payout: $2.22K
Potential profit: $189.12
Multiplier: 1.09x
User PnL: $35.87

No position

Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 90%
Current value: $1.79K
Potential payout: $1.99K
Potential profit: $198.61
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$112.5

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 29%
Current value: $420.03
Potential payout: $1.45K
Potential profit: $1.03K
Multiplier: 3.45x
User PnL: -$279.96

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 73.5%
Current value: $906.68
Potential payout: $1.23K
Potential profit: $326.9
Multiplier: 1.36x
User PnL: -$93.32

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $252.94
Potential payout: $1.18K
Potential profit: $923.53
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: $52.94

Yes position

Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $173.68
Potential payout: $1.05K
Potential profit: $878.95
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$26.31

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.72

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 87.2% 344.15 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

No 82.3% 607.74 shares
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Yes 83% 649.57 shares
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 99.9% 240.96 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 21% 9.52 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?

Yes 50% 110 shares
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?

No 95.7% 1,986.11 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?

No 80.3% 2,491.71 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in June?

No 87.3% 2,289.49 shares
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?

Yes 69.4% 2,879.86 shares
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?

Yes 48.8% 4,094.24 shares
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 22 and June 28, 2026?

Yes 69.3% 2,887.08 shares