Polymarket Trader

BOBIN-765

0x76d4f87fe8c8f9a0f022c33fc556935d911a4c8c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $192.12
Realized PnL: $552.16
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $418.11
Potential profit: $418.11
User PnL: -$24

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $196.08
Potential profit: $196.08
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $23.79
Potential payout: $144.16
Potential profit: $120.37
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$20.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $23.35
Potential payout: $126.58
Potential profit: $103.23
Multiplier: 5.42x
User PnL: $13.35

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$9.7

Yes position

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37.5%
Current value: $37.49
Potential payout: $99.98
Potential profit: $62.49
Multiplier: 2.67x
User PnL: $8.36

Yes position

Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $39.56
Potential payout: $94.2
Potential profit: $54.63
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: $27.8

No position

Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75
Potential profit: $75
User PnL: -$45.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 33.1%
Current value: $21.7
Potential payout: $65.67
Potential profit: $43.96
Multiplier: 3.03x
User PnL: $7.45

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.39
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $59.61
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14%
Current value: $6.3
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $38.7
Multiplier: 7.14x
User PnL: $1.8

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 62%
Current value: $27.9
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.61x
User PnL: $4.17

Yes position

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.2%
Current value: $4.86
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $35.14
Multiplier: 8.23x
User PnL: -$5.94

No position

Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.58
Potential profit: $39.58
User PnL: -$17.96

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $24
User PnL: -$6.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$9.1

Yes position

Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.22
Potential profit: $15.22
User PnL: -$3.5

No position

Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.98
Potential profit: $14.98
User PnL: -$3.4

Yes position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $6.77
Potential payout: $14.55
Potential profit: $7.79
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $1.82

Yes position

Will DeepSeek be #1 model before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.25
Potential profit: $14.25
User PnL: -$1.78

No position

Will Trump talk to Narendra Modi in September?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$4.7

Yes position

Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.10ºC in August 2025?

Ends Aug 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.2

Yes position

Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8
Potential profit: $8
User PnL: -$2.16

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.77

Yes position

Will 4-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $84.61

Yes position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.64

No position

Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.7

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.4

Yes position

Will xAI have the top AI model on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.94

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.85

No position

Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.1

No position

Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Elon no longer world's richest before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.6

No position

Will o3-mini be better than DeepSeek before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15

No position

Will anyone say "M5" during Apple launch event on September 9?

Ends Sep 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.7

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.45

No position

Will Gold hit $3,000 before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

No position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.2

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6

No position

Will Elon tweet 350-374 times November 1-8?

Ends Nov 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.59

Yes position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times Nov 29-Dec 6?

Ends Dec 6, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.96

No position

DeepSeek R2 released before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.94

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9 launch by April 30?

Ends Apr 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

South Korean President impeached in 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

No position

Will iPhone 17 cost more than $800?

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.33

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 21.7% 65.67 shares
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw?

Yes 23% 15.22 shares
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 61% 10.66 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6.2% 225.81 shares
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.1% 196.08 shares
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.2% 192.31 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 7.9% 126.58 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 9.7% 100 shares
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 7% 87.2 shares
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Yes 17% 10 shares
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?

No 7% 10 shares
Will Trump visit China by April 30?

No 14% 38.74 shares