Polymarket Trader

Guru04

0x76d68edde32a4f4897d5372c7f02c68041cdf344

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.5
Realized PnL: -$9.7
Win rate: 16.7%
Open positions: 11
Closed positions: 6
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.46
Potential profit: $63.46
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Ends Jan 7, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.93
Potential payout: $42.86
Potential profit: $40.93
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$1.07

Yes position

Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $26.32
Potential profit: $26.32
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wisconsin win the 2025-2026 Big 10 Men's Basketball regular season championship?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.42
Potential profit: $13.42
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $9.67
Potential profit: $8.46
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.75
Potential profit: $7.75
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $7.69
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $1.96
Potential payout: $7.69
Potential profit: $5.73
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $6.25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $0.4
Potential payout: $4.17
Potential profit: $3.77
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.6

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Wisconsin Badgers position

Wisconsin Badgers vs. Minnesota Golden Gophers

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.26

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.96

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$6

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET

Up 33% 2.99 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 16% 7 shares
Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Men's at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 12.9% 7.75 shares
Will Italy win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Yes 3.8% 26.32 shares
Will Francesca Lollobrigida (ITA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Speed Skating - Women's 1500m at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Yes 16% 6.25 shares
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 16% 16.66 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
Odds of Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31 over 50% by January 16?

Yes 14.9% 13.42 shares
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Yes 24% 8.33 shares
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?

Yes 38% 5.26 shares
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?

Yes 4.8% 20 shares
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?

Yes 7% 42.86 shares