Polymarket Trader

gambler925

0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.53K
Realized PnL: $412
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 79.7%
Current value: $1.75K
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $446.89
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $186.6

Yes position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $460.99
Potential payout: $2.2K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$76.35

No position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
Current value: $2.01K
Potential payout: $2.02K
Potential profit: $12.12
User PnL: $56.29

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.85
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$716.77

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $0.56
User PnL: $242.16

No position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $338.06
Potential payout: $734.92
Potential profit: $396.86
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$33.05

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $400.53
Potential payout: $734.92
Potential profit: $334.39
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $51.65

Yes position

Kash Patel out by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $140.54
Potential payout: $283.92
Potential profit: $143.38
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$32.35

No position

Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 46.5%
Current value: $118.29
Potential payout: $254.39
Potential profit: $136.1
Multiplier: 2.15x
User PnL: $25.26

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $99.49
Potential payout: $156.67
Potential profit: $57.18
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38%
Current value: $59.53
Potential payout: $156.67
Potential profit: $97.14
Multiplier: 2.63x
User PnL: $6.27

No position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.3%
Current value: $4.07
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $15.93
Multiplier: 4.92x
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 79%
Current value: $15.8
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $4.2
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Mark Tedford be the Republican nominee for OK-01?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 97.5%
Current value: $19.49
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.51
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Current value: $4.02
Potential payout: $4.45
Potential profit: $0.43
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: $1.13

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $347.52

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.89

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.09

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.5

Yes position

o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 84.7%
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: $11.07

Yes position

Another 7.0 or above earthquake by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.74

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.65

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 45 million views on day 3?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.7

Yes position

Will USD fall to 1.7M Iranian rials by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.43

No position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 45.5%
Multiplier: 2.20x
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Ethereum flipped in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15

Yes position

OpenAI IPO before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 54%
Multiplier: 1.85x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.6%
Multiplier: 15.27x
User PnL: $0.5

No position

Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $0.15

No position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 8 and June 14, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5.63

Yes position

Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$150.64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?

No 80% 20 shares
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

No 17% 20 shares
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

No 99.9% 10,000 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 11.57 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 11.57 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 14.1 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 10 shares
OpenAI IPO before 2027?

No 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 14.1 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 49% 10 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 50% 5.23 shares