Polymarket Trader

vin1769

0x771906ee273a964e5b4626205a3be49516e98da4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $172.36
Realized PnL: $161.7
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.5K
Potential profit: $4.5K
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $98.53
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.73K
Multiplier: 18.52x
User PnL: -$186.57

Yes position

Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.96
Potential profit: $999.96
User PnL: -$15

No position

US x China tariff agreement by November 10?

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $594.55
Potential profit: $594.55
User PnL: -$102.97

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $64.29
Potential payout: $476.19
Potential profit: $411.9
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$35.71

Yes position

Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $263.16
Potential profit: $263.16
User PnL: -$15

No position

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Ends Oct 4, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $236.65
Potential profit: $236.65
User PnL: -$9

Yes position

Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $110
Potential profit: $105.23
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$1.83

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$24.5

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in October?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.41
Potential profit: $33.41
User PnL: -$11.11

No position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 20.5%
Current value: $4.77
Potential payout: $23.26
Potential profit: $18.49
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: -$5.23

No position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.98
Potential profit: $21.98
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $12.99
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$7.6

Yes position

US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.35
Potential profit: $7.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $120,000 on October 2?

Ends Oct 2, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.62
Potential profit: $6.62
User PnL: -$1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.23
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

100% tariff on China in effect by November 1?

Ends Nov 1, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.08

No position

Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 40% on November 12?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.22

No position

TikTok sale announced by September 30?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.95

Yes position

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16

Yes position

Will the US strike Somalia next?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

No position

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.88

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.95

No position

Will Donald Trump visit China in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.67

Yes position

Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.94

No position

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.2

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.17

Yes position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

Yes position

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Yes position

Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?

Ends Dec 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.38

Yes position

Will Trump say "Patriot" or "Hero" 6+ times during 9-11 memorial event?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 September 29-October 5?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.17

Yes position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.11

Yes position

Will Trump say "War" during 9-11 memorial event?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

No 93% 1.08 shares
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

No 48% 10 shares
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?

Yes 6% 110 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 76% 10 shares
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Yes 21% 5 shares
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?

Yes 11% 10 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 43% 23.26 shares
US x China tariff agreement by May 31?

Yes 68% 7.35 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 40% 25 shares
US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Yes 50% 20 shares
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

Yes 73% 13.7 shares
Jimmy Lai released by June 30?

Yes 5.7% 263.16 shares