Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $603.75
- Potential payout
- $52.5K
- Potential profit
- $51.9K
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- -$393.75
Polymarket Trader
merdekaraya
0x771ad15e2692cbf6ab027e248660c3d6fa9c3659
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $41.6K
- Realized PnL
- $9.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 9
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $15.62K
- Potential payout
- $15.63K
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- $711.93
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $11.3K
- Potential payout
- $12.35K
- Potential profit
- $1.05K
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $5.92K
- Potential payout
- $6.33K
- Potential profit
- $411.37
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $538.33
$60k position
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.22K
- Potential profit
- $6.22K
- User PnL
- -$2.91K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.87K
- Potential payout
- $3.02K
- Potential profit
- $151.12
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $225.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $2.71K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $285
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $896.04
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $1.76K
- Potential payout
- $1.86K
- Potential profit
- $102.52
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $108.93
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $805
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $195
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $405
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?
Ends Apr 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $816.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $705.91
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $460
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $414
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $375.4
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $364.01
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $347
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.8
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $305
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Iran leadership change by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?
Ends Apr 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $240
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $214.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.42
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $209.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?
Ends Apr 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $200
No position
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $151.61
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $131.99
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $130.63
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 50,042.93 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes 98.7% 1,000 shares
- Netanyahu out by June 30?No 99.4% 1,200 shares
- Trump out as President by June 30?No 99.6% 1,498.21 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 99.7% 2,000 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?No 95.4% 499.98 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 0.5% 499.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 0.6% 500 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No 87.4% 500 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 4.2% 1,877 shares
- Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?Yes 6% 1,877 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026?No 87% 36.25 shares