Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.6%
- Current value
- $5.87K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $24.14K
- Multiplier
- 5.12x
- User PnL
- -$9.14K
Polymarket Trader
UnderwriterGCR
@0xEast8
0x771d7c5ac82ca8776738e2560f6a6e50d34b440e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.82K
- Realized PnL
- $18.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 22
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.5%
- Current value
- $24.14K
- Potential payout
- $30K
- Potential profit
- $5.87K
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $9.14K
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $10.18K
- Potential payout
- $11K
- Potential profit
- $825.03
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $468.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.98K
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- $885.02
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $3.17K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $332.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $512.5
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $3.3K
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $201.25
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $195.89
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.49K
- Potential payout
- $2.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $75.26
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.7%
- Current value
- $1.87K
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $126
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $102.51
No position
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.93K
- Potential profit
- $860.39
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$536.18
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $1.13K
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $78.31
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $175.88
No position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $937.62
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $62.51
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $14.5
No position
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $957.54
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $7.47
No position
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $996
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $4
- User PnL
- $36
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $884.33
- Potential payout
- $926.49
- Potential profit
- $42.16
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $67.48
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $719.44
- Potential payout
- $733.75
- Potential profit
- $14.31
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $17.06
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $457.5
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $42.5
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $27.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $216.25
- Potential payout
- $250
- Potential profit
- $33.75
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $11.25
No position
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $144.82
- Potential payout
- $161.81
- Potential profit
- $16.99
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $28.32
No position
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $98.05
- Potential payout
- $104.48
- Potential profit
- $6.43
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $7.7
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $99.65
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $0.35
- User PnL
- $20.65
No position
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.2%
- Current value
- $84.2
- Potential payout
- $87.57
- Potential profit
- $3.37
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $4.79
No position
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.6%
- Current value
- $35.44
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $4.56
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.42K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120K in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $977.23
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $140K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $854.42
No position
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $832.26
No position
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $822.09
No position
Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $766.79
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by January 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $576.72
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $483.14
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $1200 in May?
Ends May 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $433.78
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $428.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.42
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $373.84
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $125K in July?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $351.76
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.55 before December?
Ends Nov 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $349.95
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in December?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $343.65
No position
US forces enter Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $291.99
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $288.69
Yes position
WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280
No position
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.76
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $95k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $260.78
No position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $254.26
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 91.8% 545 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 74% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in June?No 96.8% 233.75 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?No 92% 1,000 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?No 95.9% 345 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.2% 1,530.35 shares
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?No 92.7% 455.35 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.9% 5,000 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 70.3% 3,025.96 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No 58% 651.5 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?No 71.2% 2,974.13 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97.3% 500 shares