No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $369.15
- Potential payout
- $394.81
- Potential profit
- $25.66
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $69.15
Polymarket Trader
conlibre
0x7720c32d4baf0414f26bac886b405c7f59cd5eb2
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $504.57
- Realized PnL
- $249.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $119.05
- Potential profit
- $119.05
- User PnL
- -$100
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $90.5
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $9.5
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $4.5
No position
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.9%
- Current value
- $44.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $5.08
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.69
- Potential profit
- $1.69
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.67
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.81
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.43
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.83
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.45
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.13
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.71
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.14
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.73
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.78
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.6
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 59% 1.69 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 29% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown 62% 48.38 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETUp 49% 10.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETDown 62% 48.39 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown 98% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 2% 21.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETUp 23% 21.74 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETDown 78% 38.46 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 58% 15.15 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETUp 41% 55.55 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETDown 66% 15.15 shares