Polymarket Trader

alfasmpwr

0x7722eb4fbefda54b2bdb78c61fd9aea1df7a3247

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.6
Realized PnL: $642.09
Win rate: 76.5%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 17
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$79.43

Yes position

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$19.05

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $700
User PnL: -$7.2

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $517.23
Potential profit: $517.23
User PnL: -$2.07

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$6.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$13.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$39

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $7.2
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $392.8
Multiplier: 55.56x
User PnL: -$32.8

Yes position

Iran leadership change by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $1.4
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $398.6
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$30.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.95
Potential profit: $399.95
User PnL: -$109.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.9
Potential profit: $399.9
User PnL: -$20

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $299.98
User PnL: -$43.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.97
Potential profit: $299.97
User PnL: -$59.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.96
Potential profit: $299.96
User PnL: -$54.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $299.93
Potential profit: $299.93
User PnL: -$59.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.16
Potential profit: $213.16
User PnL: -$51.08

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$1.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$23.49

$60k position

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $200
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$29.46

Yes position

Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.99
Potential profit: $199.99
User PnL: -$30

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $199.98
Potential profit: $199.98
User PnL: -$55

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.92

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $125

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.99

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.57

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $16.49

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.33

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6

Yes position

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.77

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.71

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET

Ends May 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$45

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Yes 10.5% 107.36 shares
Iran leadership change by June 30?

Yes 8% 400 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Down 5% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Down 4% 100 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET

Up 52% 33.33 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 8?

No 0.7% 66 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Up 3.7% 300 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 9% 13.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Up 19% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Down 5% 10 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Down 30% 14 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Down 26% 100 shares