No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$12.8
Polymarket Trader
11M11
0x7727b63ef82ba505f7ce1aac6183cfe725ebfe33
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $25
- Realized PnL
- $97.57
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $430.9
- Potential profit
- $430.9
- User PnL
- -$69.9
Yes position
Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $270
- Potential profit
- $270
- User PnL
- -$12.24
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85
- Potential profit
- $85
- User PnL
- -$36.13
No position
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14
- Potential profit
- $14
- User PnL
- -$2.38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.78
Yes position
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-09-18?
Ends Sep 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.01
No position
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.7
No position
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?
Ends Sep 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.01
No position
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 27?
Ends Sep 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.92
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.97
Yes position
Fed rate cut by September meeting?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.78
No position
Russian strike on Poland by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will Tesla launch robotaxis in California in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Eric Adams drop out?
Ends Nov 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes 21% 90 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes 16% 125 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes 17.3% 115.9 shares
- US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes 11% 100 shares
- Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No 0.2% 1,000 shares
- Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No 27% 20 shares
- Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No 27% 20 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes 4.7% 75 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes 4.7% 150 shares
- Will tariffs generate >$250b in 2025?Yes 3.7% 45 shares
- Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?No 82% 30 shares
- Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 27?No 96% 20.83 shares