Yes position
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $20.67
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $1.56
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.67
Polymarket Trader
ClockworkLabyrint
0x772d022ab7060b95baa0b4f2a94576febd5e6c26
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.67
- Realized PnL
- $4.41
- Win rate
- 92.9%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 14
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18
- Potential profit
- $18
- User PnL
- -$2.65
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.36
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.54
No position
Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?
Ends May 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + D66 + CDA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will the next government funding bill be passed on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.21
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Yes 90% 22.22 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 85.6% 23.36 shares
- Will "HOPE by NA Hong-jin" win Palme d'Or at the 2026 Cannes Film Festival?No 98% 20.41 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.2% 20.18 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 99.1% 20.18 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.4% 21.48 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.1% 21.48 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 96.3% 21.58 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes 97.3% 21.58 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 22.34 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 94% 22.34 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes 97% 18 shares