Polymarket Trader

0x774Cc57aC9c73d056939D94759F290FFd9Aa40F6-1751148649866

0x774cc57ac9c73d056939d94759f290ffd9aa40f6

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.06K
Realized PnL: $82.42
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 3
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $326.87
Potential payout: $499.03
Potential profit: $172.17
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $47.18

No position

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83%
Current value: $244.54
Potential payout: $294.63
Potential profit: $50.09
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: $27.25

Yes position

Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $80.12
Potential payout: $225.69
Potential profit: $145.57
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$27.14

No position

Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $141.58
Potential payout: $216.16
Potential profit: $74.58
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $33.72

Yes position

Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $83.91
Potential payout: $153.97
Potential profit: $70.06
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: $11.33

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include Labour + Green + Maori?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $36.88
Potential payout: $139.17
Potential profit: $102.29
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $40.59
Potential payout: $90.2
Potential profit: $49.61
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: $2.69

Yes position

Will the next governing coalition of New Zealand include National + ACT + NZF?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 49%
Current value: $42.94
Potential payout: $87.64
Potential profit: $44.7
Multiplier: 2.04x
User PnL: $24.19

Yes position

Will the National Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $12.46
Potential payout: $44.49
Potential profit: $32.03
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: $8.01

Yes position

Will the National Party win 25-29 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 9%
Current value: $3.94
Potential payout: $43.81
Potential profit: $39.87
Multiplier: 11.11x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $6.34
Potential payout: $34.29
Potential profit: $27.95
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $1.2

Yes position

Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $11.28
Potential payout: $25.93
Potential profit: $14.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.39

No position

Will Te Pāti Māori be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $14.63
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $10.38
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: $0.87

No position

Will Green Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 45%
Current value: $11.15
Potential payout: $24.77
Potential profit: $13.62
Multiplier: 2.22x
User PnL: -$2.48

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win 40-44 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $2.58
Potential payout: $10.96
Potential profit: $8.38
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$0.71

Yes position

Will the Labour Party win 45-49 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $2.59
Potential payout: $5.96
Potential profit: $3.37
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $1.7

Yes position

Will Chris Hipkins be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?

Ends Nov 7, 2026

Implied probability: 53.5%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $3.73
Potential profit: $1.73
Multiplier: 1.87x
User PnL: $1.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.79

Yes position

Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.91

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.28

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

No 69% 7.25 shares
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

No 69% 7.25 shares
Will National Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

Yes 43.5% 42.94 shares
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

No 75% 13.49 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 60% 5 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 60% 40 shares
Will National Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

No 48.7% 16.16 shares
Will Labour Party be part of the next Government of New Zealand?

No 52% 15.2 shares
Christopher Luxon out by September 30?

No 76% 6.37 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 67% 7 shares
Will New Zealand First Party win the third-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 45% 12.72 shares
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?

Yes 57.1% 70 shares