Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.26K
- Potential profit
- $2.26K
- User PnL
- -$41.56
Polymarket Trader
hedgeit
0x775cd429f130860d66c6ce5cf6b822c32509419a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.69K
- Realized PnL
- $75.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 68.5%
- Current value
- $591.53
- Potential payout
- $863.54
- Potential profit
- $272.02
- Multiplier
- 1.46x
- User PnL
- -$30.15
No position
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Current value
- $691.44
- Potential payout
- $813.46
- Potential profit
- $122.02
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$20.5
No position
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $675.09
- Potential payout
- $750.1
- Potential profit
- $75.01
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- -$11.5
No position
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $146.48
- Potential payout
- $150.08
- Potential profit
- $3.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $105.02
- Potential payout
- $109.96
- Potential profit
- $4.95
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Current value
- $100.54
- Potential payout
- $105
- Potential profit
- $4.46
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$1.23
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $72.73
- Potential profit
- $72.73
- User PnL
- -$7.75
No position
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $61.95
- Potential payout
- $70
- Potential profit
- $8.05
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $4.9
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $54.3
- Potential payout
- $60
- Potential profit
- $5.7
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $2.3
Yes position
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$9.5
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 93.9%
- Current value
- $46.93
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $3.08
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.75
No position
Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 70%
- Current value
- $28
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $12
- Multiplier
- 1.43x
- User PnL
- -$0.6
No position
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $33.43
- Potential payout
- $35
- Potential profit
- $1.58
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 87%
- Current value
- $26.1
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $3.9
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- -$0.2
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 97.6%
- Current value
- $24.4
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.6
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $23.63
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $1.38
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $24.01
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.99
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.31
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $24.2
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.2
Yes position
Will the National Liberal Party (PNL) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 31%
- Current value
- $6.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $13.8
- Multiplier
- 3.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
No position
Will the Alliance for the Union of Romanians (AUR) be included in the next Romanian government?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $14.84
- Potential payout
- $16
- Potential profit
- $1.16
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15
- Potential profit
- $15
- User PnL
- -$4.35
No position
Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.4%
- Current value
- $9.24
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.2
- Potential profit
- $5.2
- User PnL
- -$1.09
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $27.69
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63
Cub Swanson position
UFC 327: Cub Swanson vs. Nate Landwehr (Featherweight, Prelims)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.87
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.3
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Will Partido Popular (PP) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32
Yes position
Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.03
No position
Israeli parliament dissolved by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$600M one day after launch?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.93
No position
Will VOX (VOX) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.8
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.76
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.65
No position
Will Hyperliquid dip to $28 in April?
Ends May 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
No position
Will Hezbollah disarm by April 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.49
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Partido Socialista Obrero Español de Andalucía (PSOE-A) win the Andalusia regional election?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
No position
Netanyahu out by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.42
No position
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.38
No position
Trump posts himself as Jesus again in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?Yes 29% 15 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-28?Yes 19% 50 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June?No 99.5% 30 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes 11% 22.73 shares
- Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?Yes 21% 5.2 shares
- Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11?Yes 11% 25 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 0.9% 1,111.11 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 63.7% 7.85 shares
- MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?Yes 76.5% 13.07 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?No 90% 25 shares
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in May?No 99.5% 25 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 98% 152.23 shares