No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.28K
- Potential profit
- $1.28K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0x7765487818ea992284d88Dc4E646D754e2f399b4-1721448784412
0x7765487818ea992284d88dc4e646d754e2f399b4
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $358.94
- Realized PnL
- -$149.56
- Win rate
- 22.2%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 9
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 10.6%
- Current value
- $105.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $894.5
- Multiplier
- 9.48x
- User PnL
- $43.04
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 12.3%
- Current value
- $68.06
- Potential payout
- $555.56
- Potential profit
- $487.5
- Multiplier
- 8.16x
- User PnL
- -$31.94
Yes position
Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Aug 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $166.28
- Potential payout
- $391.24
- Potential profit
- $224.96
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- $74.96
Yes position
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $19.07
- Potential payout
- $235.46
- Potential profit
- $216.39
- Multiplier
- 12.35x
- User PnL
- $10.83
Yes position
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $96.27
- Potential profit
- $96.27
- User PnL
- -$39.11
Yes position
Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $80.78
- Potential profit
- $80.74
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$7.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.9
Yes position
Will Edmundo González win the 2024 Venezuela presidential election?
Ends Jul 28, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.68
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.4
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.06
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.6
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?
Ends Apr 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9.65
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?
Ends Mar 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$58.33
Yes position
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Josh Tenorio win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?Yes 16.9% 59.05 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No 7.8% 1,282.05 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on April 2?Yes 29.2% 33.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C or higher on April 2?Yes 19.9% 48.26 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 17% 500 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 18% 555.56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?Yes 44% 41.53 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 21?Yes 43% 59.52 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 18% 500 shares
- Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?Yes 40.6% 86.27 shares
- Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes 9% 80.78 shares
- Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 3.5% 235.46 shares