Polymarket Trader

0x7774E44155777B2816FF96D48cD84Ca739f76Ba4-1761311418496

0x7774e44155777b2816ff96d48cd84ca739f76ba4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $590.77
Realized PnL: $127.38
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 22
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $298.98
Potential payout: $418.15
Potential profit: $119.17
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.02

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $267.7
Potential profit: $267.7
User PnL: -$72.28

Yes position

Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.25
Potential profit: $156.25
User PnL: -$75

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $117.65
User PnL: -$100

No position

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $111.59
Potential payout: $112.2
Potential profit: $0.62
User PnL: $11.59

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 39.5%
Current value: $41.23
Potential payout: $104.38
Potential profit: $63.15
Multiplier: 2.53x
User PnL: $16.23

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $102.94
Potential profit: $102.94
User PnL: -$70

Yes position

Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.15
Potential profit: $96.15
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $48.11
Potential payout: $75.76
Potential profit: $27.65
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.89

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $48.31
Potential payout: $67.57
Potential profit: $19.26
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$1.69

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.95
Potential profit: $51.95
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.2
Potential profit: $50.2
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $48.08
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $24.76
Potential payout: $48.08
Potential profit: $23.32
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $17.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $22.2
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$2.2

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $71.23

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.61

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.6

Yes position

S&P 500 all time high by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.28

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.42

Yes position

Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.69

Yes position

Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 17?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.49

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.38

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Israel strike Gaza on December 15?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.15

No position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Israel strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.42

No position

Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$18.94

Yes position

Fed rate cut by March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$28.52

Yes position

US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$43.14

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will United States win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 52% 48.08 shares
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Yes 24% 104.38 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 69.8% 286.57 shares
Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?

Yes 49.8% 50.2 shares
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 76% 131.58 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?

Yes 52% 48.08 shares
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?

Yes 66% 75.76 shares
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 57% 26.32 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 34.72 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 99.9% 38 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 65% 38.46 shares
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?

Yes 72% 34.72 shares