Polymarket Trader

emifole1

@emifole1

0x7776852217b5c7b105d7203af289f46d15123c1d

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $12.53
Realized PnL: $17.22
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 3
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $10.99
Potential payout: $12.57
Potential profit: $1.57
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $8.1

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.41
Potential profit: $4.41
User PnL: -$1.63

Yes position

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 13, 2026

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $1.54
Potential payout: $1.99
Potential profit: $0.45
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: -$0.01

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.56

Yes position

Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.14

Yes position

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.93

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.87

76ers position

Grizzlies vs. 76ers

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.98

No position

Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.85

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.82

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.65

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Yes position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

No position

Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Will Carlos Álvarez finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.44

Yes position

Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Matt Gaetz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0

Hawks position

Hawks vs. Rockets

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.27

Avalanche position

Avalanche vs. Wild

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.02

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 78% 1.99 shares
Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 68m?

Yes 23% 12.57 shares
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 41% 7.02 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 33% 8.3 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Yes 37% 4.41 shares
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?

No 77% 2.84 shares
Avalanche vs. Wild

Avalanche 56% 3.61 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?

No 72% 2.22 shares
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?

Yes 49% 3.67 shares
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?

Yes 58% 4.59 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?

No 75% 3.27 shares
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?

No 72.6% 3.4 shares