Polymarket Trader

0x83516bdf4961c70b6680f78D81F7FCCbA4F2856B-1775668213213

0x777877a9dfdeb58dfd7b370199ea7ba4849505b3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $25.71
Realized PnL: $11.5
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 1
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $499.75
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $332.83
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$0.5

No position

Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $148
Potential profit: $148
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.5
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.09
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.59

Yes position

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.87
Potential profit: $45.87
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 28, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.02
Potential payout: $43.48
Potential profit: $43.46
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.98

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $0.94
Potential payout: $41.67
Potential profit: $40.73
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $38.46
Potential profit: $38.46
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.82
Potential profit: $33.82
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $29.53
Potential profit: $27.32
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $0.21

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.86
Potential payout: $28.57
Potential profit: $26.71
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $12.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $12.25
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $10.75

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.75
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $23.25
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.25

Yes position

Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $18.9
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $16.63
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: $0.1

Yes position

Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.67
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $0.92
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $15.75
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.5
Potential profit: $12.5
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $12.34
Potential profit: $12.34
User PnL: -$4.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Portugal vs Uzbekistan FIFA World Cup Match?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the announcers say "Trump" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 7% 28.57 shares
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 6.8% 29.53 shares
Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will the announcers say "Adidas" during the Switzerland vs Canada FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 8% 25 shares
Will Starmer say "Hate" or "Hatred" during the next PMQ?

Yes 43% 2.33 shares
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next PMQ?

Yes 18% 5.56 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Yes 2.4% 41.67 shares
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?

No 14% 7.14 shares
Will GameStop acquire eBay?

Yes 13% 19.23 shares
Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans?

Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
Will the announcers say "Verizon" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 8% 12.5 shares
Will the announcers say "Powerade" during the England vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?

Yes 10% 10 shares