OpenAI position
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $34.58
- Potential payout
- $247
- Potential profit
- $212.42
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$46.93
Polymarket Trader
juanlam
0x7786a97f1a5f7c862f0dd941c7da638f86747914
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $35.46
- Realized PnL
- $2.41K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $0.88
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.13
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$1.93
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo end in a draw?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- $613.35
Down position
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5AM ET
Ends Feb 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $309
No position
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.37
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 8 be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.4
Up position
Solana Up or Down - February 15, 4AM ET
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.5
Yes position
Will "Greenland" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.7
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $98.28
Yes position
Will Benicio del Toro win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $87.66
No position
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $69.3
Yes position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.72
No position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $67.67
Yes position
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $54.7
No position
Will SpaceX have exactly 10 launches in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $52.68
Yes position
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.82
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $47.52
No position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.7
Yes position
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 21%
- Multiplier
- 4.76x
- User PnL
- $30.4
No position
Will "The Bride!" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 12m and 14m?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.05
Yes position
Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2025-12-06?
Ends Dec 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $26.46
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.31
No position
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.71
Yes position
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.4
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $22.7
Yes position
Will Jensen Huang say "Anthropic" at the NVIDIA GTC keynote?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in July 2026 (ET)?No 89.9% 670 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?No 86% 212 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?No 86% 533 shares
- Will the total number of TSA passengers for April 6 - April 12 be between 17,000,000 and 17,500,000?No 80% 745 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 37% 227 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 37% 193 shares
- Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?No 65% 420 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 47% 581 shares
- Will Ethena dip to $0.04 by December 31, 2026?No 79% 581 shares
- Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No 94% 95 shares
- Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No 93% 187 shares
- Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?No 94% 161 shares