Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $106.25
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.14K
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $43.75
Polymarket Trader
0x5D596B48aE81b9ba1Ac9c93a37e09E508ca65162-1775165964909
0x778b3524d05d89789de8035fa7233f33c43b4e2d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $953.59
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 48.5%
- Current value
- $229.27
- Potential payout
- $472.73
- Potential profit
- $243.45
- Multiplier
- 2.06x
- User PnL
- $25.77
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84.5%
- Current value
- $290.84
- Potential payout
- $344.19
- Potential profit
- $53.35
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- -$3.16
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $64.5
- Potential payout
- $299.99
- Potential profit
- $235.49
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $5.7
No position
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
Ends Aug 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 42.5%
- Current value
- $117.4
- Potential payout
- $276.23
- Potential profit
- $158.83
- Multiplier
- 2.35x
- User PnL
- -$7.06
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 38%
- Current value
- $101.33
- Potential payout
- $266.67
- Potential profit
- $165.33
- Multiplier
- 2.63x
- User PnL
- $21.33
Yes position
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $44
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $156
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 41% 30 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 100 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 22% 7.79 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 16% 100 shares
- Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes 15% 100 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 45% 20 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 44% 50 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 44% 50 shares
- US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?No 48% 20 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 44% 22.73 shares
- Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes 43% 100 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes 30% 100 shares