No position
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $5.01K
- Potential payout
- $6.07K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $2.66K
Polymarket Trader
Altega
@marcvelmare
0x77b0b896910b3388e01708521d1f92d1f5c2ba0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $5.01K
- Realized PnL
- $103.75K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.27K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.57K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.39K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.36K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.33K
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.54K
No position
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.53K
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.41K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.32K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.29K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.1K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $2.07K
No position
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.99K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.91K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
Yes position
Houthi strike on Israel by April 15, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61K
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.59K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
Yes position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?
Ends Oct 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Over 2.8% 503.15 shares
- Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5Over 1.9% 503.16 shares
- Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026?No 67% 15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 14% 8,215 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 8,215 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes 4.8% 4,330.23 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes 30.1% 7,114.59 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 9.2% 1,981.49 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 24% 2,249.29 shares
- Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?No 44.5% 2,249.29 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes 50.5% 1,981.49 shares
- Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?No 33.7% 2,300 shares