Polymarket Trader

baba1443

0x77b61b96b30a36b885aa8280522a7cabf5e47fec

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.21K
Realized PnL: $11.36K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $961.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $38.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $23.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $314.71
Potential profit: $314.71
User PnL: -$288.19

No position

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 94.4%
Current value: $248.59
Potential payout: $263.48
Potential profit: $14.89
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $11.46

Yes position

Will no one dissent the April Fed decision?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $39.61
Potential profit: $39.61
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.99
Potential profit: $18.99
User PnL: -$1.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 20?

Ends Apr 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.35
Potential profit: $11.35
User PnL: -$4.66

Down position

Nikkei 225 (NIK) Up or Down on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.11
Potential profit: $10.11
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

No position

US government shutdown Saturday?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.43

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 13?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 70-71°F on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 60-61°F on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 38°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends May 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$8.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.08

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 84-85°F on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or below on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$7.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.99
Potential profit: $9.99
User PnL: -$1.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7K

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.14K

No position

Netanyahu out by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 9?

Ends Apr 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $850.08

No position

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $480

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400.01

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $344.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 16?

Ends Apr 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.6

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $282.72

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 23?

Ends May 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $269.5

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $260.79

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $226.76

No position

Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.6

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 4?

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $204.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $184.91

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on December 13?

Ends Dec 13, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.33

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $146.09

Yes position

Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $143.94

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.06

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.92

Yes position

Will Superman be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.97

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 8?

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.5

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.26

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 25?

No 93% 651.42 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 1?

Down 0.1% 100 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?

No 53% 238 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

No 85% 280.99 shares
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 30?

No 85% 400.81 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29?

Up 90% 928.3 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?

Up 16% 3.41 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 28?

Up 31% 3.41 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?

Up 99.7% 18,449.93 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?

Up 98.9% 1,111 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 27?

Up 99.2% 3,867.77 shares
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on May 26?

Up 99.5% 2,745.33 shares