Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $44.58K
- Potential profit
- $44.58K
- User PnL
- -$736.7
Polymarket Trader
EMCR
0x77cdfe422fcad884dc660c1e102a2ec03c2c7d8c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.51K
- Realized PnL
- -$2.35K
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 10
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $391.7
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- -$58.3
Yes position
Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.7%
- Current value
- $167.61
- Potential payout
- $946.92
- Potential profit
- $779.32
- Multiplier
- 5.65x
- User PnL
- -$62.39
Yes position
Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $219.5
- Potential payout
- $636.41
- Potential profit
- $416.91
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- $59.5
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 31.5%
- Current value
- $184.66
- Potential payout
- $586.23
- Potential profit
- $401.57
- Multiplier
- 3.17x
- User PnL
- -$15.34
Yes position
Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $449.32
- Potential profit
- $446.17
- Multiplier
- 142.86x
- User PnL
- -$106.85
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 24.9%
- Current value
- $105.25
- Potential payout
- $423.55
- Potential profit
- $318.3
- Multiplier
- 4.02x
- User PnL
- $5.25
Yes position
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $25.36
- Potential payout
- $298.39
- Potential profit
- $273.02
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$4.64
Yes position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 38.4%
- Current value
- $113.13
- Potential payout
- $294.99
- Potential profit
- $181.86
- Multiplier
- 2.61x
- User PnL
- $13.13
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $263.16
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
Ends Sep 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $188.57
- Potential payout
- $240.22
- Potential profit
- $51.65
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$11.43
Yes position
Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.1%
- Current value
- $40.86
- Potential payout
- $214.51
- Potential profit
- $173.64
- Multiplier
- 5.25x
- User PnL
- $10.86
Yes position
Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $49.43
- Potential payout
- $125.29
- Potential profit
- $75.86
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
No position
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $116.42
- Potential profit
- $116.42
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $97.5
- Potential profit
- $97.5
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Radu Burnete be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.5%
- Current value
- $1.81
- Potential payout
- $71.11
- Potential profit
- $69.3
- Multiplier
- 39.37x
- User PnL
- -$8.19
Yes position
Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.2%
- Current value
- $2.79
- Potential payout
- $45
- Potential profit
- $42.21
- Multiplier
- 16.13x
- User PnL
- -$7.21
Yes position
Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?
Ends Nov 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $13.23
- Potential payout
- $20.83
- Potential profit
- $7.6
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $3.23
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $249.49
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $213.58
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84.68
No position
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.08
Yes position
Will Lovable be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $3.02
No position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Péter Magyar sextape released by March 31
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$30
Yes position
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.8K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Alexandru Nazare be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 12.9% 155.04 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 39.9% 125.29 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 79% 63.29 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 79% 63.29 shares
- Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 16.9% 177.51 shares
- Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?Yes 32% 187.5 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 4.1% 245.23 shares
- Will Sorin Grindeanu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?Yes 38.6% 100.45 shares
- Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?Yes 76.1% 411.94 shares
- Will Loyiso Masuku be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 22.2% 45 shares
- Will Helen Zille be the next mayor of Johannesburg?Yes 48% 20.83 shares
- Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?Yes 88% 113.64 shares