No position
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $64.9
- Potential payout
- $65
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.16
Polymarket Trader
magiceden-282
0x77e1386c6caa8d7ef601d3a2b3ce5b0cae7e30e8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $64.9
- Realized PnL
- $59.95
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
USA position
T20 World Cup: Netherlands vs USA (Game 1)
Ends Feb 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $49
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 22?
Ends May 22, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 18–25?
Ends Apr 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 3?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.62
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 16–23?
Ends May 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?
Ends May 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.58
No position
Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will egg prices be less than $4.75 in April?
Ends May 13, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will Israel strike Syria on Monday September 1?
Ends Sep 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 21?
Ends Apr 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will ETH hard fork before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 26?
Ends Apr 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 1?
Ends May 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Trump x Xi talk by Friday?
Ends Apr 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?
Ends May 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times April 25–May 2?
Ends May 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 2–9?
Ends May 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?No 99.6% 65 shares
- Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from June 8 - 14?No 99.9% 36 shares
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No 99.9% 75 shares
- Will Claude go down 0-2 times in May?No 99.2% 71 shares
- Will XRP dip to $0.20 in April?No 99.8% 51.99 shares
- Will the price of XRP be between $1.70 and $1.80 on March 16?No 99.9% 41.6 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 99.1% 38.6 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 18, 2026?No 99.6% 51.2 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on February 12, 2026?No 99.9% 108.7 shares
- Will the US next strike Iran on January 14, 2026 (ET)?No 99.8% 61.12 shares
- Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 5?No 99.9% 28.01 shares
- Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?No 98.3% 29.45 shares