No position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.4%
- Current value
- $20.09
- Potential payout
- $20.64
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.09
Polymarket Trader
dafa29
0x77e555b943317f1e1b7613c0b02ea0c44b94883b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $46.49
- Realized PnL
- $40.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 18
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
MicroStrategy purchases >5000 BTC July 15-21?
Ends Jul 21, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.24
- Potential profit
- $17.24
- User PnL
- -$10
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $15.26
- Potential payout
- $15.48
- Potential profit
- $0.22
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.26
No position
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $11.14
- Potential payout
- $13.75
- Potential profit
- $2.61
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- -$0.86
Yes position
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.39
- Potential profit
- $10.39
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Lee Sang-min in jail by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.21
- Potential profit
- $9.21
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.7
- Potential profit
- $8.7
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Dogecoin reach $0.24 in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.33
- Potential profit
- $6.33
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 3 to October 10, 2025?
Ends Oct 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will MicroStrategy hold 620k+ BTC before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.95
- Potential profit
- $5.95
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $5.77
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.35
- Potential profit
- $4.35
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.3
- Potential profit
- $4.3
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.2
- Potential profit
- $4.2
- User PnL
- -$4
Up position
Trump approval Up or Down this week?
Ends Oct 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.05
- Potential profit
- $4.05
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will McDonald’s (MCD) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.8
- Potential profit
- $3.8
- User PnL
- -$3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
XRP Up or Down on August 26?
Ends Aug 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.1
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on July 14?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.89
No position
Han Duck-soo in jail by August 15?
Ends Aug 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.62
No position
Will Trump attend UFC 318?
Ends Jul 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.82
Yes position
Bitcoin above $110.5K on August 26 at 4PM ET?
Ends Aug 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.88
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down on August 27?
Ends Aug 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.85
No position
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
Ends Jul 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.67
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will LLA win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?
Ends Oct 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.32
Yes position
Will Lamb Weston Holdings (LW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.29
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,200 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.25
Yes position
Will Bank of America (BAC) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from November 7 to November 14, 2025?
Ends Nov 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
Yes position
Will Mikie Sherrill win the New Jersey Governor Election in 2025
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Yes position
Will Charles Schwab (SCHW) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Oct 16, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,600 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 87.3% 13.75 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 9 to July 11, 2026?No 96.9% 10.32 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?No 96.9% 15.48 shares
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?Yes 94% 8.51 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?No 97.8% 8.18 shares
- Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Yes 77% 10.39 shares
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?Yes 83% 9.64 shares
- Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?Yes 92% 8.7 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 95% 6.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No 87% 8.05 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?No 95.7% 12.54 shares