cleaningLady

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76K
Potential profit: $4.76K
User PnL: -$67.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.49K
Potential profit: $4.49K
User PnL: -$18.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.35K
User PnL: -$110.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.94K
Potential profit: $2.94K
User PnL: -$46.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.76K
Potential profit: $2.76K
User PnL: -$15.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.28K
Potential profit: $2.28K
User PnL: -$30.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $1.7K
User PnL: -$7.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$17.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 30°C or higher on March 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$781.42

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.49K
Potential profit: $1.49K
User PnL: -$10.49

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -2°C on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.48K
Potential profit: $1.48K
User PnL: -$17.9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C or higher on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.35K
Potential profit: $1.35K
User PnL: -$11.29

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.28K
Potential profit: $1.28K
User PnL: -$8.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 16°C or higher on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.19K
Potential profit: $1.19K
User PnL: -$14.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C or below on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.11K
Potential profit: $1.11K
User PnL: -$113.63

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.01K
Potential profit: $1.01K
User PnL: -$9.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C or higher on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $963.57
Potential profit: $963.57
User PnL: -$115.77

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 78°F or higher on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $957.9
Potential profit: $957.9
User PnL: -$46.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C or higher on March 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $925.46
Potential profit: $925.46
User PnL: -$12.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.14
Potential profit: $923.14
User PnL: -$8.46

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 9?

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $923.08
Potential profit: $923.08
User PnL: -$9.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $905.99
Potential profit: $905.99
User PnL: -$12.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $885.5
Potential profit: $885.5
User PnL: -$19.34

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 10°C on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $840.6
Potential profit: $840.6
User PnL: -$11.53

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $839.56
Potential profit: $839.56
User PnL: -$685.18

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $823.07
Potential profit: $823.07
User PnL: -$12.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 14°C on March 19?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $813.5
Potential profit: $813.5
User PnL: -$11.13

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 31°F or below on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $807.26
Potential profit: $807.26
User PnL: -$7.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $794.93
Potential profit: $794.93
User PnL: -$14.14

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -4°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $788.44
Potential profit: $788.44
User PnL: -$4.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 27?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $772.39
Potential profit: $772.39
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $767.49
Potential profit: $767.49
User PnL: -$21.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $761.57
Potential profit: $761.57
User PnL: -$7.82

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 59°F or below on March 12?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $720.02
Potential profit: $720.02
User PnL: -$9.93

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 54-55°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $688.74
Potential profit: $688.74
User PnL: -$10.16

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 16?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $678.59
Potential profit: $678.59
User PnL: -$378.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $678.25
Potential profit: $678.25
User PnL: -$10.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.19
Potential profit: $666.19
User PnL: -$8.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $665.71
Potential profit: $665.71
User PnL: -$398.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $660.77
Potential profit: $660.77
User PnL: -$9.02

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $640.97
Potential profit: $640.97
User PnL: -$237.16

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $623.35
Potential profit: $623.35
User PnL: -$8.4

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 13?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $615.97
Potential profit: $615.97
User PnL: -$5.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $612.33
Potential profit: $612.33
User PnL: -$9.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 10°C on March 26?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $609.22
Potential profit: $609.22
User PnL: -$3.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 21?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $602.1
Potential profit: $602.1
User PnL: -$3.62

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C on March 25?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $596.95
Potential profit: $596.95
User PnL: -$5.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 51°F or below on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $583.53
Potential profit: $583.53
User PnL: -$101.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 23?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $567
Potential profit: $567
User PnL: -$7.94

No position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $558.73
Potential profit: $558.73
User PnL: -$121.81

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 90-91°F on June 11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $716.56

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 56-57°F on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $655.07

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 12°C or below on March 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $632.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C or higher on March 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $615.78

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $477.83

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 56°F or higher on March 19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $455.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 17°C on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $402.58

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $318.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on March 27?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $286.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $280.93

No position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.54

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $243.4

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.84

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.81

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 21°C or below on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $197.88

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 24?

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $194.47

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $189.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.2

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.26

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on February 22?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 36-37°F on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157.84

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $154.51

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 78°F or higher on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.74

No position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 83°F or below on March 15?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $153.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 10?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.23

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on March 20?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.21

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C or higher on March 11?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $145.57

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on March 22?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.43

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 22°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.07

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C on March 16?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $138.38

No position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on March 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $137.31

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be 68°F or higher on March 30?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 23°C or higher on February 20?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 19°C or higher on March 24?

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.7

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on March 26?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $132.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C or below on March 14?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $131.92

No position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on March 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130.39

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $125.31

No position

Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.88

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.48

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on March 27?