Polymarket Trader

0x7801...5794

0x78010ebf1213e3d5b52ddc6b8c08b08209cb5794

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $46.3
Realized PnL: $62.68
Win rate: 66.7%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the Bank of Canada decrease the target for the overnight rate by 50+ bps at the October interest rate announcement?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $9.85
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $5.3
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: $4.85

No position

Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $5.3
Potential payout: $12.2
Potential profit: $6.89
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $0.3

No position

Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 50.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $8.5
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 1.98x
User PnL: $0.55

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 56.5%
Current value: $4.6
Potential payout: $8.14
Potential profit: $3.54
Multiplier: 1.77x
User PnL: -$0.04

Yes position

Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 65.5%
Current value: $4.91
Potential payout: $7.49
Potential profit: $2.58
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: $0.19

No position

US strike on Cuba by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $5.06
Potential payout: $7.39
Potential profit: $2.33
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 81%
Current value: $4.98
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $1.17
Multiplier: 1.23x
User PnL: $0.18

No position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $5.52
Potential payout: $5.9
Potential profit: $0.38
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: $0.56

No position

Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $1.78
Potential payout: $4.3
Potential profit: $2.51
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: -$0.24

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Under position

Belgium vs. IR Iran: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

No position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $11.76

Over position

Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.77

Over position

Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.68

Sweden position

Spread: Sweden (-1.5)

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.33

Ghana position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.04

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.97

No position

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 22 to June 24, 2026?

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.13

Yes position

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

Yes position

IR Iran vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.91

No position

Will Shivon Zilis be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.25

No position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Starmer out by June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

Under position

Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.27

No position

Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.22

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Over position

France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Over position

Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Under position

Belgium vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.36

Yes position

Will WhiteHawk Minerals' market cap be between $600M and $675M at market close on IPO day?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.38

Uzbekistan position

Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Morocco position

Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.2

Under position

Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.41

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

No 99.2% 17 shares
Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5

Over 32% 3.13 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5

Over 26% 3.85 shares
France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5

Over 44% 2.27 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5

Under 44% 2.27 shares
Spread: Morocco (-2.5)

Morocco 39% 8.21 shares
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 1.5

Under 28% 12.18 shares
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5

Over 45% 7.58 shares
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 1.5

Under 26% 13.15 shares
Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?

No 41% 12.2 shares
Spread: England (-1.5)

Ghana 38% 8.13 shares
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)

Uzbekistan 34% 9.41 shares