Polymarket Trader

0x780A08325873dAe090B7da0B8FDe988A8CF4c0c7-1764704331846

0x780a08325873dae090b7da0b8fde988a8cf4c0c7

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $223.81
Realized PnL: $95.64
Win rate: 50%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 12
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $62.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $437.5
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: $12.5

Yes position

Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $118.77
Potential payout: $199.61
Potential profit: $80.84
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $88.77

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 13.1%
Current value: $16.17
Potential payout: $123.46
Potential profit: $107.28
Multiplier: 7.63x
User PnL: -$3.83

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 9.4%
Current value: $10.31
Potential payout: $110.32
Potential profit: $100
Multiplier: 10.70x
User PnL: $0.31

Yes position

Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $7.96
Potential payout: $58.99
Potential profit: $51.02
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$7.04

Yes position

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54
Potential profit: $54
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $8.1
Potential payout: $39.22
Potential profit: $31.12
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: -$1.9

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.03
Potential profit: $27.03
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4300 and $4400 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89.84

No position

US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.67

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.61

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.42

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.67

No position

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.93

No position

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

Ends Dec 31, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

No position

Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$12.5

Yes position

Will Gold close between $4200 and $4300 at the end of 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$60

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $200 and $250?

Yes 9.3% 54 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

No 37% 27.03 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?

No 59% 16.95 shares
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?

Yes 13.5% 36.99 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Yes 16.2% 123.46 shares
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Yes 71% 70.42 shares
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Yes 75% 66.67 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 7% 142.86 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?

Yes 14% 178.57 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Yes 36% 138.89 shares
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 9.1% 110.32 shares
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 25.5% 39.22 shares