Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $10.31K
- Potential payout
- $75K
- Potential profit
- $64.69K
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- $113.48
Polymarket Trader
Zaratustra
0x7818687f1c2cda416877ab68d18d2c9c25f9d185
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.49K
- Realized PnL
- $55.26K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Jordan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $49.97K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$25
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $3.81K
- Potential payout
- $47.36K
- Potential profit
- $43.55K
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- $146.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $12.23K
- Potential payout
- $12.27K
- Potential profit
- $42.96
- User PnL
- $909.48
No position
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $550.82
- Potential payout
- $4.41K
- Potential profit
- $3.86K
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $22.03
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $586.64
- Potential payout
- $3.68K
- Potential profit
- $3.09K
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- -$62.04
Yes position
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $16.56
- Potential payout
- $3.01K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$448.87
No position
Netanyahu out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.98K
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $19.5
- User PnL
- $212.92
No position
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $2.6K
- Potential payout
- $2.9K
- Potential profit
- $304.9
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $82.15
No position
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $2.44K
- Potential payout
- $2.45K
- Potential profit
- $14.71
- User PnL
- $98.96
No position
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.99K
- Potential profit
- $656.97
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$70.48
No position
Pacifica FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 67%
- Current value
- $1.24K
- Potential payout
- $1.85K
- Potential profit
- $610.06
- Multiplier
- 1.49x
- User PnL
- -$108.21
Yes position
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?
Ends Apr 30, 2027- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $38.02
- Potential payout
- $1.69K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- -$19.43
No position
Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 81%
- Current value
- $1.33K
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $312.56
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $2.09
No position
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $1.49K
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $11.25
- User PnL
- $60.75
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-21?
Ends Jun 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 4%
- Current value
- $59.25
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.44K
- Multiplier
- 25.32x
- User PnL
- $0.75
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.08K
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $15.4
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $116.6
No position
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Ends Sep 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 46%
- Current value
- $454.94
- Potential payout
- $989
- Potential profit
- $534.06
- Multiplier
- 2.17x
- User PnL
- -$144.75
Yes position
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $628
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $172
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- $24.65
No position
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.7%
- Current value
- $627.89
- Potential payout
- $699.99
- Potential profit
- $72.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $51.8
Yes position
Kash Patel out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 50.5%
- Current value
- $318.15
- Potential payout
- $630
- Potential profit
- $311.85
- Multiplier
- 1.98x
- User PnL
- -$117.95
No position
Pacifica FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $413.12
- Potential payout
- $519.65
- Potential profit
- $106.53
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$54.48
No position
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $455.42
- Potential payout
- $500.46
- Potential profit
- $45.04
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $114.74
No position
Opensea FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 92.8%
- Current value
- $463.74
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $36.25
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$4.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Denmark position
Men's Group C - Denmark vs. Latvia
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.66K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.15K
Seahawks position
Seahawks vs. Patriots
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.78K
No position
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.22K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.37K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.19K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.16K
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.05K
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48K
Cowboys position
Cowboys vs. Commanders
Ends Dec 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $1.08K
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $1.06K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Yes position
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $983.18
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $906.88
Yes position
Aztec FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $870.1
Yes position
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.7%
- Multiplier
- 17.70x
- User PnL
- $865.75
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $848.99
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $776.97
Yes position
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.17
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $649.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $625.39
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.8% 5,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 1,199.29 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 11.7% 5,000 shares
- Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.8% 40 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Yes 0.2% 1,500 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes 90% 10 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 71% 200 shares
- Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?Yes 86% 200 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 94.2% 2,000 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?Yes 99.1% 45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 95.5% 1,398.36 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 91% 1,000 shares