Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Current value
- $536.59
- Potential payout
- $1.13K
- Potential profit
- $593.07
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $62.43
Polymarket Trader
0x7819...6c19
0x7819d4e7b5e482926bc5cbcbec324773fc866c19
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $561.59
- Realized PnL
- $954.52
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $25
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $238.16
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$25
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $367.13
No position
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.13
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $66
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.54
No position
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.9
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.6
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.89
No position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.64
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.32
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.58
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $20.27
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.04
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.02
Ceasefire position
Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.63
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.33
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.12
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?
Ends May 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.05
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.85
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.06
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.7
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.1
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.44
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 85.4% 382.36 shares
- Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No 90% 366.68 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 40.8% 338.69 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 78.4% 539.89 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Yes 19% 263.16 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 39% 256.41 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 30?No 78.7% 170.97 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes 48.8% 278.15 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by May 31?No 99.9% 273.29 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 87.9% 826.02 shares
- Iran closes its airspace by June 15?No 80.7% 131.25 shares