No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Current value
- $115.59
- Potential payout
- $127.72
- Potential profit
- $12.13
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $9.58
Polymarket Trader
canthavenames
0x7824b8966d1ee806a235a2931ff0ac479bf2e5cd
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $115.59
- Realized PnL
- $120.08
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.54
No position
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.51
Yes position
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.15
Yes position
Will Green Left win the second most seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.75
No position
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.57
No position
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.86
Yes position
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.54
No position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.76
Yes position
Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.23
Yes position
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.91
No position
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.56
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 10 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $3.56
No position
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.23
Yes position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
Will Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will "Sinners" win 3 or fewer awards at the Oscars?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.4
Under position
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55
No position
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 12 be greater than 2,800,000?
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Yes position
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the March Meeting?
Ends Mar 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.7
Yes position
Will Accenture (ACN) beat quarterly earnings?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.55
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 11 be between 2,000,000 and 2,200,000?
Ends Mar 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.53
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No 83% 109.72 shares
- No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?No 93.2% 28.99 shares
- Will annual inflation be 4.1% in May?No 99.9% 40 shares
- Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in May?No 99% 50 shares
- Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No 79% 103.99 shares
- Will Larry Rhoden win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?No 87.1% 75 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 5, 2026?No 57% 109.78 shares
- Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?Yes 77.9% 80 shares
- Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?Yes 95.9% 61 shares
- Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?Yes 99.3% 20 shares
- Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 100 seats?No 99.2% 30 shares
- Will Tisza win at least 100 seats?Yes 70% 20 shares