Yes position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 7.1%
- Current value
- $214.2
- Potential payout
- $3K
- Potential profit
- $2.79K
- Multiplier
- 14.01x
- User PnL
- $39.7
Polymarket Trader
Yep
0x78258cde52cd600eacb9d29ad6d5c7102161e7c5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $285.7
- Realized PnL
- $460.3
- Win rate
- 43.5%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 23
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Current value
- $71.5
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- -$100.5
Yes position
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$18.76
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
Ends Sep 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $709.43
Yes position
Biden drops out of presidential race?
Ends Nov 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $210.52
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $182.1
Yes position
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $93
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.99
Yes position
Will Biden say "MAGA" at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.5
Yes position
Will Obama say "Climate change" at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Is $DJT real?
Ends Jun 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $13.85
Yes position
Will Obama say "Democracy" 3 or more times at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Yes position
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?
Ends Aug 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.9
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.3
Yes position
Will Biden say "Weird "or "Weirdo" at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 19, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Unburdened" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8.5
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Context" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Obama say "Muslim" at DNC speech?
Ends Aug 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Was Barron involved in $DJT?
Ends Jun 23, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$20.18
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris say "Weird" or "Weirdo" during DNC speech?
Ends Aug 22, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$27.5
Yes position
Will Biden announce resignation by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.74
Yes position
Biden diagnosed with "medical condition" before DNC?
Ends Aug 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$112
Yes position
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.99
No position
Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$178.75
Yes position
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$335.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 300 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 14% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 23% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 22% 100 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes 12% 100 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No 93% 60.5 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No 93% 74.99 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?No 81% 50 shares
- Will Google have the top AI model on February 28?No 38% 100 shares