Polymarket Trader

0x7825F89f69eCa06EF0f7a9151358DEE77441bd2e-1758810634066

0x7825f89f69eca06ef0f7a9151358dee77441bd2e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $29.25
Realized PnL: $155.36
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $234.08
Potential profit: $234.08
User PnL: -$7

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $2.13
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $67.87
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: $1.15

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $50
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $4.76
Potential payout: $25.38
Potential profit: $20.62
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: -$0.24

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.8%
Current value: $6.94
Potential payout: $21.19
Potential profit: $14.25
Multiplier: 3.05x
User PnL: $1.94

Cabo Verde position

Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.83
Potential profit: $20.83
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

No listed company closes Warner Bros acquisition by June 30, 2027

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $1.58
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $13.43
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.29
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Current value: $9.69
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0.31
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $1.68

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.6

No position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $1.55
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $8.45
Multiplier: 6.45x
User PnL: -$6.15

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.6%
Current value: $2.56
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $7.44
Multiplier: 3.91x
User PnL: $1.9

Yes position

Will Netflix close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.05
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $9.96
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$5.7

Yes position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.56

No position

Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6.67
Potential profit: $6.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.76
Potential profit: $4.76
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.81
Potential profit: $1.81
User PnL: -$1.23

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.89

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 15?

Ends Oct 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.17

Yes position

Will Cape Verde advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.81

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.04

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.36

Paraguay position

Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Ends Jun 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.22

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.1

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 United States Grand Prix pole?

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.48

No position

French election called by October 10?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.39

Texans position

Texans vs. Ravens

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.15

No position

Will Gerald Murnane win the 2025 Nobel Prize in Literature?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Yes position

Will Penguin Solutions (PENG) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.86

Yes position

Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.45

No position

Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 9?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" 4+ times during events with the President of Ukraine on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.3

No position

Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.19

No position

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: $3

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.98

Yes position

Will Sora be the #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 20?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.9

No position

Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?

Ends Oct 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.8

No position

Will Saudi Arabia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.78

Yes position

Will Constellation Brands (STZ) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Oct 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Yes 0.4% 6.75 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Cabo Verde 24% 20.83 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 2.7% 185.19 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 3.9% 25.64 shares
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?

Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?

Yes 74% 6.76 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Yes 21% 4.76 shares
Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by June 30, 2026?

No 30% 6.67 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 43% 2.33 shares
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance

Paraguay 29% 6.9 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 23.6% 21.19 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 19.7% 25.38 shares