Polymarket Trader

Dominic8416

@Connorjthompso1

0x782a529e806e286be8300cdd8b3e4d5706acbca2

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $10.2
Realized PnL: $10.26K
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Up position

Solana Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.97K
Potential profit: $4.97K
User PnL: -$2.54K

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 11, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.31K
Potential profit: $3.31K
User PnL: -$1.65K

NIP position

Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.07K
Potential profit: $3.07K
User PnL: -$1.53K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET

Ends Jan 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.01K
Potential profit: $2.01K
User PnL: -$1.01K

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 1AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.97K
Potential profit: $1.97K
User PnL: -$984

No position

USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$804

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.61K
Potential profit: $1.61K
User PnL: -$803.71

Yellow Submarine position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.6K
User PnL: -$802

Yes position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $9.6
Potential payout: $1.6K
Potential profit: $1.59K
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$790.4

No position

Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.54K
Potential profit: $1.54K
User PnL: -$771

Yes position

Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$750

Down position

Solana Up or Down - January 24, 7AM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.4K
Potential profit: $1.4K
User PnL: -$686

Yes position

Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.6
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $149.4
Multiplier: 250.00x
User PnL: -$0.75

No position

Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.4

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $6
User PnL: -$3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4PM ET

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.24K

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 5, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $870.5

No position

Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.71

No position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $803.71

Yes position

USD.AI FDV above $650M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $802.39

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.5

Nigma Galaxy position

Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Yellow Submarine (BO3) - The International Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $800.4

Yes position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $799.7

No position

GPT-5.6 released by July 6, 2026?

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 99.4%
User PnL: $798.4

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win more than 53.5 regular season games in 2025–26?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $769.46

No position

Pakistan Super League: Peshawar Zalmi vs Quetta Gladiators - Toss Match Double Quetta Gladiators Winner

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $749.92

Kukuys position

Dota 2: Kukuys vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $636.35

Hornets position

Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $540.65

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 14, 1PM ET

Ends Jan 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $521.09

Down position

XRP Up or Down - January 10, 12PM ET

Ends Jan 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $508.08

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 2, 3AM ET

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $418.79

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $61.35

No position

Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.99

No position

Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.06

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: -$61.2

No position

Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$801.3

Yes position

Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$803.71

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

No 99.8% 1,607.42 shares
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 0.9% 150 shares
Will "Bomb" be said 100+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?

No 14% 10 shares
Will Google have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?

No 98.5% 6 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

No 97.6% 5.33 shares
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

No 97.8% 5.33 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 91% 6.2 shares
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?

Yes 92% 6.2 shares
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs NIP - Map 2 Winner

NIP 50% 3,068 shares
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)

Hornets 45% 983 shares
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 8AM ET

Up 51% 1,569.31 shares
Ethereum Up or Down - January 24, 4PM ET

Up 50% 515 shares