Polymarket Trader

smdnewsX

0x783e838c5c2db50d4c7d09aaa5adfd445ba31138

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $0
Realized PnL: $36.78
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 1
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Latest Resolved Positions

No open position details returned

This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Trump meets with Carney in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 50-51°F on February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.84

No position

Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?

Ends Dec 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.83

Yes position

Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.74

No position

Will the Los Angeles Kings win the 2025 Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08

No position

Trump meets with Carney in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.96

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will "The Brutalist" win the most Oscars in the 2025 Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.8

Yes position

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $0.72

No position

Will Elon tweet less than 300 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.7

No position

Will Ethereum reach $3000 in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.67

No position

Will Elon tweet 625-649 times March 21-28?

Ends Mar 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.14

No position

Will Australia win Eurovision 2025?

Ends May 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.13

No position

US-Iran nuclear deal before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.9%
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will Elon tweet 325–349 times May 16–23?

Ends May 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.07

No position

Will Anthropic have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.06

No position

Will George Russell finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Alibaba have the top AI model on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70k in May?

Ends May 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.03

No position

Will 'Wicked: For Good' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 44%
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 74% 17 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 74% 7 shares
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

No 74% 34 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 39% 87 shares
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?

No 42% 87 shares
Cuban regime falls in 2026?

Yes 17% 72 shares
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 95.5% 31 shares
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?

No 96.9% 5 shares
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?

Yes 12% 22 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 4.9% 59.32 shares
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 6.7% 74 shares
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?

No 87.7% 37 shares