Yes position
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $4.37K
- Potential profit
- $4.37K
- User PnL
- -$8.74
Polymarket Trader
0x7840B3f9eB2AA9e98f5F75A5b66351BB88411039-1769643827807
0x7840b3f9eb2aa9e98f5f75a5b66351bb88411039
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $37.86
- Realized PnL
- $362.4
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$40
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $99.16
- Potential profit
- $99.16
- User PnL
- -$63.46
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11AM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $37.86
- Potential payout
- $42.3
- Potential profit
- $4.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.98
paiN Gaming position
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - CBLOL Cup Play-In
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.71
- Potential profit
- $2.71
- User PnL
- -$1.22
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.42
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $75.55
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 5 to February 7, 2026?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $61.58
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.34
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.21
Team Heretics position
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.46
No position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Inside Games position
LoL: Inside Games vs Meavedron (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Group Stage
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.5
Natus Vincere position
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.96
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.82
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.82
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10AM ETUp 0.1% 1,000 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?No 64% 99.16 shares
- U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7?Yes 0.2% 4,371 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 3.5% 57.45 shares
- US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes 3.8% 8.74 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No 0.1% 72,398.7 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No 0.1% 20,758.7 shares
- Will the next official US-Iran meeting be in Oman?No 0.1% 2,000 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes 18.3% 150 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No 0.1% 32,550 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?Yes 31.1% 105 shares
- US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?No 0.1% 11,200 shares