Polymarket Trader

Vodka-

@vodka_5cl

0x7842b9934ea3ed4c829b6d4287f0d0da91c34d91

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $1.27K
Realized PnL: $0
Win rate: Unavailable
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 0
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.2%
Current value: $72.94
Potential payout: $2.32K
Potential profit: $2.24K
Multiplier: 31.75x
User PnL: -$105.36

No position

Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.04K
Potential profit: $2.04K
User PnL: -$90.97

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 6?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $1.5K
User PnL: -$46.89

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 4.4%
Current value: $44
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $956
Multiplier: 22.73x
User PnL: -$36

Yes position

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.5

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $6.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $993.5
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$4.5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.9%
Current value: $58.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $941.49
Multiplier: 17.09x
User PnL: $21.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $14.5
Potential payout: $999.99
Potential profit: $985.49
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$2.5

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $293.73
Potential payout: $995.68
Potential profit: $701.96
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: $17.65

No position

Will Zcash reach $900 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 78.5%
Current value: $596.6
Potential payout: $760
Potential profit: $163.4
Multiplier: 1.27x
User PnL: $275.5

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $34.65
Potential payout: $700
Potential profit: $665.35
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: -$10.85

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $65.55
Potential payout: $689.98
Potential profit: $624.44
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$34.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $658.36
Potential profit: $658.36
User PnL: -$72.58

Yes position

Will Enzo Maresca be appointed as manager of Real Madrid?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $635.71
Potential profit: $635.71
User PnL: -$1.27

Yes position

Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $11.95
Potential payout: $558.29
Potential profit: $546.34
Multiplier: 46.73x
User PnL: -$14.29

Yes position

Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $489.5
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$14

Yes position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $17.25
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $482.75
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$7.75

Yes position

Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $2.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $497.5
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$28

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $18.75
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $481.24
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.25

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.85
Potential profit: $499.85
User PnL: -$20

No position

Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on June 5?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.27
Potential profit: $499.27
User PnL: -$30.91

No position

Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $399.98
Potential profit: $399.98
User PnL: -$157.99

Yes position

Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $26.52
Potential payout: $353.66
Potential profit: $327.14
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$8.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No closed positions returned for this trader.

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 48% 5 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Yes 5% 500 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Up 98% 5.37 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Up 93% 5.38 shares
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 36% 100 shares
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

No 27.4% 200 shares
Will Turkiye advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 46% 75.75 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

No 26.4% 206.36 shares
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Yes 7.7% 1,989.5 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 15 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 10 shares
Will Panama advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 14% 10 shares