Polymarket Trader

LuckyDrake

0x7849f6e46c10ee9c2708afad20805ea65d1ada97

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $154.33
Realized PnL: $3.66K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $258.48
Potential profit: $258.48
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 15 to June 17, 2026?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $159.99
Potential profit: $159.99
User PnL: -$0.96

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109.35
Potential profit: $109.35
User PnL: -$9.3

Yes position

Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$1.95

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.51
Potential profit: $96.51
User PnL: -$40

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 34%
Current value: $27.67
Potential payout: $81.39
Potential profit: $53.72
Multiplier: 2.94x
User PnL: $16.28

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 2 to June 9, 2026?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.01
Potential profit: $76.01
User PnL: -$53.8

Yes position

Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $16.28
Potential payout: $74
Potential profit: $57.72
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: $0.74

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60.83
Potential profit: $60.83
User PnL: -$1.54

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $8.25
Potential payout: $56.87
Potential profit: $48.62
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$3.1

Yes position

Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $37.15
Potential payout: $49.2
Potential profit: $12.05
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 70.5%
Current value: $33.14
Potential payout: $47
Potential profit: $13.87
Multiplier: 1.42x
User PnL: -$2.59

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 10-14 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.82
Potential profit: $45.82
User PnL: -$0.78

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 28%
Current value: $12.67
Potential payout: $45.24
Potential profit: $32.57
Multiplier: 3.57x
User PnL: -$6.33

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $35.48
Potential profit: $35.48
User PnL: -$12.9

Yes position

Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 5 to June 12, 2026?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30.16
Potential profit: $30.16
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.23
Potential profit: $29.23
User PnL: -$7.89

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.35
Potential profit: $27.35
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.78
Potential profit: $18.78
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.78
Potential profit: $18.78
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Ted Cruz post 100-119 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 94%
Current value: $16.92
Potential payout: $18
Potential profit: $1.08
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $2.27
Potential payout: $15.64
Potential profit: $13.37
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$4.37

Yes position

Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.52
Potential profit: $14.52
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $429.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $415.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $236.18

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $228.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.6

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $178.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.33

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $128.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 12 to March 14, 2026?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120.09

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.12

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $112.11

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $104.31

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.17

No position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.91

Yes position

Will CZ post 0-19 posts from May 5 to May 12, 2026?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.1

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?

Ends Mar 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.96

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $79.46

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $78.03

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $77.52

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $72.95

Yes position

Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.73

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 27.2% 26.55 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22.6% 26.55 shares
Will White House post 160-179 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

No 92.2% 14.1 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 42% 35.71 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 21% 43.8 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 22% 5 shares
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 42% 4.76 shares
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 13% 8.07 shares
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 35% 10 shares
Will White House post 180-199 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 69% 34.2 shares
Will White House post 200+ posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 21% 74 shares