Polymarket Trader

detox

0x785386856456de26ac04ba1f5e3c49b92e7936d8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $6.45K
Realized PnL: $49.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $1.9K
Potential payout: $1.9K
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $188.37

No position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $907.69
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $117.95
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $107.69

No position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $828.93
Potential payout: $915.95
Potential profit: $87.02
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $328.94

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Current value: $727.58
Potential payout: $744.33
Potential profit: $16.75
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $32.55

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 57.5%
Current value: $298.37
Potential payout: $518.91
Potential profit: $220.54
Multiplier: 1.74x
User PnL: -$106.38

No position

Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $437.1
Potential profit: $437.1
User PnL: -$166.3

No position

Will Henri Bontenbal become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $392.58
Potential payout: $392.58
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $153.11

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $327.86
Potential payout: $327.86
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $127.87

No position

Will inflation reach more than 3% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $302.22
Potential payout: $302.22
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $167.82

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45–50m million views on day 1?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $282.08
Potential profit: $282.08
User PnL: -$36.67

Yes position

Will Iga Swiatek win the 2025 US Open?

Ends Sep 7, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $262.5
Potential profit: $262.5
User PnL: -$53.23

No position

Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?

Ends Sep 8, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $254.52
Potential profit: $254.52
User PnL: -$53.45

Yes position

Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?

Ends Sep 5, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$92.5

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $236.08
Potential payout: $236.08
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $86.93

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect between $100b and $200b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $215
Potential profit: $215
User PnL: -$58.05

Yes position

Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $191.7
Potential profit: $191.7
User PnL: -$7.53

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $15.71
Potential payout: $184.87
Potential profit: $169.16
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$17.56

Yes position

Will Elon cut the budget by at least 5% in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $178.01
Potential profit: $178.01
User PnL: -$24.92

No position

GTA VI released before June 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $163.76
Potential payout: $163.76
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $108.08

No position

Will inflation reach more than 4% in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $146.34
Potential payout: $146.34
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $26.34

Yes position

Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $127
Potential profit: $127
User PnL: -$15.24

Yes position

Will the ECB announce an increase at the September meeting?

Ends Sep 11, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $109
Potential profit: $109
User PnL: -$2.51

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102.66
Potential payout: $102.66
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $50.46

No position

Will the Texans win the AFC Championship?

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $102
Potential payout: $102
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $5.92

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Ends Sep 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.99K

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.56K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35K

No position

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.8K

Yes position

Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

Yes position

Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.68K

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.57K

No position

Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.39K

Yes position

Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard Jr. as Director of National Intelligence?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.35K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.25K

Yes position

TikTok sale announced in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.23K

Yes position

Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.15K

No position

Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in his first 100 days?

Ends Apr 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.04K

Yes position

Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?

Ends May 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $987.42

Yes position

Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?

Ends Aug 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $983.72

Yes position

Ukraine agrees to Trump mineral deal before April?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $971.06

No position

Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?

Ends Apr 30, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $938.67

No position

Will Pump.fun launch a token by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $876.18

No position

Israel strikes Iran before 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $862.83

No position

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $858.83

Yes position

Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?

Ends Dec 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $813.92

No position

Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $809.66

Yes position

Will the Bills win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $743.92

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?

No 58% 600 shares
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 45% 1,558.14 shares
Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?

Yes 57% 515.52 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 16% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 14% 4,071.42 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 14% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 12% 5,000 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET

Up 23% 5,000 shares
No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?

Yes 13% 2,075.08 shares
Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Yes 18% 8,076.92 shares
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?

Yes 95% 411.02 shares
Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?

Yes 13% 27 shares