Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $349.4
- Potential profit
- $349.4
- User PnL
- -$104.17
Polymarket Trader
qcp7
0x787585d93056275e8d02f32c309673a4d70d0dfb
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $92.88
- Realized PnL
- $272.7
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $1.3
- Potential payout
- $200.36
- Potential profit
- $199.06
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$3.5
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $16.69
- Potential payout
- $54.71
- Potential profit
- $38.02
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- -$3.1
No position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.34
- Potential profit
- $54.34
- User PnL
- -$22.28
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $54.08
- Potential profit
- $54.08
- User PnL
- -$24.33
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $20.74
- Potential payout
- $53.87
- Potential profit
- $33.13
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $2.06
Yes position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.46
- Potential profit
- $51.46
- User PnL
- -$16.06
Yes position
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $49.88
- Potential profit
- $49.88
- User PnL
- -$4.49
Yes position
Epstein "I beat Bush" Email unredacted by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.85
- Potential profit
- $47.85
- User PnL
- -$5.26
Yes position
Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during the State of the Union address?
Ends Feb 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $47.35
- Potential profit
- $47.35
- User PnL
- -$3.31
No position
Will the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $46.16
- Potential profit
- $46.16
- User PnL
- -$6
No position
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94%
- Current value
- $36.47
- Potential payout
- $38.8
- Potential profit
- $2.33
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $10.09
Yes position
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $38.1
- Potential profit
- $38.1
- User PnL
- -$8.38
Yes position
Secret Lives of Mormon Wives Season 5 cancelled by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.78
- Potential profit
- $37.78
- User PnL
- -$3.67
Yes position
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $4.56
- Potential payout
- $36.49
- Potential profit
- $31.93
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$4.18
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.61
- Potential profit
- $35.61
- User PnL
- -$26.6
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.58
- Potential profit
- $35.58
- User PnL
- -$7.61
No position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $35.01
- Potential profit
- $35.01
- User PnL
- -$7.4
No position
AI data center moratorium passed before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.34
- Potential profit
- $33.34
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Yes position
Evo Morales arrested by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.33
- Potential profit
- $33.33
- User PnL
- -$6.33
Yes position
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $2.98
- Potential payout
- $31.37
- Potential profit
- $28.39
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$3.29
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.8%
- Current value
- $10.14
- Potential payout
- $30.96
- Potential profit
- $20.82
- Multiplier
- 3.05x
- User PnL
- $4.13
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.12
- Potential profit
- $30.12
- User PnL
- -$8.84
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.91
- Potential profit
- $29.91
- User PnL
- -$6.1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.57
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.47
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.82
No position
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.63
Yes position
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.55
Yes position
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.49
Yes position
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.27
Yes position
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.25
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Yes position
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Ends Mar 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.17
No position
Kash Patel out by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.08
Yes position
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12
No position
Iran/Hezbollah strike on Cyprus by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.22
Yes position
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.89
Yes position
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.59
No position
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.48
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.11
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.96
No position
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.74
Yes position
UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.69
Yes position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.26
No position
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $6.97
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 83% 7.32 shares
- Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 72% 6.34 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 7.23 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 3.87 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 84% 4.26 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 33% 1.65 shares
- Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026No 65.4% 0.96 shares
- Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 2.5Over 32% 3.13 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30?Yes 60% 5.38 shares
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?Yes 64% 9.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Yes 70% 8.66 shares
- Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 19.4% 30.96 shares