Polymarket Trader

ox787897D6513B855eFe7A033b6c4BfE6da65b8D41

0x787897d6513b855efe7a033b6c4bfe6da65b8d41

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $7
Realized PnL: $47.33
Win rate: 62.5%
Open positions: 6
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $72.62K
Potential profit: $72.62K
User PnL: -$201.96

Yes position

Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $31K
Potential profit: $31K
User PnL: -$31

No position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.27
Potential profit: $15.27
User PnL: -$1.68

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $5.4
Potential payout: $5.41
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.23
Potential profit: $5.22
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.47

No position

Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 76.5%
Current value: $1.59
Potential payout: $2.08
Potential profit: $0.49
Multiplier: 1.31x
User PnL: $0.03

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.22

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.91

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 20.5%
Multiplier: 4.88x
User PnL: $10.07

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.47

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.93

No position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.54

Yes position

Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.52

No position

Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.48

No position

Iran leadership change by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.46

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

No position

Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $0.23

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.12

No position

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.05

No position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.02

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.12

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.21

No position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$1.12

Yes position

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.26

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.42

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.86

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 31,000 shares
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 31,000 shares
Will Eisenkot join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Yes 1.3% 10,622.14 shares
Will Benny Gantz join the Bennett-Lapid alliance by June 30?

Yes 0.1% 31,000 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 99.7% 10.24 shares
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?

No 97.5% 10.25 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 20.99 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 14.99 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?

Yes 99.9% 4.99 shares