Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $8.87K
- Potential payout
- $9.59K
- Potential profit
- $719.06
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $1.89K
Polymarket Trader
RealWigger
0x7879fc0d6a6f21d892c8b80d51dde576608b822a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $16.16K
- Realized PnL
- $26.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 71.5%
- Current value
- $2.24K
- Potential payout
- $3.13K
- Potential profit
- $892.7
- Multiplier
- 1.40x
- User PnL
- $334.26
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 5–10%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $2.63K
- Potential payout
- $2.81K
- Potential profit
- $182.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $4.83
Yes position
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.33K
- Potential profit
- $2.33K
- User PnL
- -$20.2
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 0–5%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $51.86
- Potential payout
- $2.25K
- Potential profit
- $2.2K
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.14K
Yes position
Will Nirav Shah win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $358.39
- Potential payout
- $1.94K
- Potential profit
- $1.58K
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$275.51
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 10–15%?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $17.5
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.38K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$94.5
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 30.5%
- Current value
- $424.13
- Potential payout
- $1.39K
- Potential profit
- $966.46
- Multiplier
- 3.28x
- User PnL
- $73.21
Yes position
Will Australia come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.99
- Potential profit
- $999.99
- User PnL
- -$20
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.47
- Potential payout
- $948.78
- Potential profit
- $948.3
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$13.76
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $145.59
- Potential payout
- $789.09
- Potential profit
- $643.5
- Multiplier
- 5.42x
- User PnL
- $3.99
Yes position
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $15.11
- Potential payout
- $706.08
- Potential profit
- $690.97
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$272.69
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 3% and 6%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $87.57
- Potential payout
- $673.59
- Potential profit
- $586.02
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- -$39.55
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 51%
- Current value
- $335.77
- Potential payout
- $658.37
- Potential profit
- $322.6
- Multiplier
- 1.96x
- User PnL
- $2.17
No position
Will Iran strike UAE again in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $614.96
- Potential profit
- $614.96
- User PnL
- -$17
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $12.44
- Potential payout
- $606.94
- Potential profit
- $594.49
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$14.08
Yes position
Will Karen Bass win the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral Election by 15%+?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$90.3
No position
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $196.64
- Potential payout
- $510.75
- Potential profit
- $314.11
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$3.36
Yes position
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by less than 3%?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $16.47
- Potential payout
- $465.15
- Potential profit
- $448.69
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$32.25
Yes position
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–4%?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.8%
- Current value
- $436.84
- Potential payout
- $446.66
- Potential profit
- $9.83
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $122.9
Yes position
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $184.15
- Potential payout
- $309.5
- Potential profit
- $125.35
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $23.34
Yes position
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 29.5%
- Current value
- $90.45
- Potential payout
- $306.62
- Potential profit
- $216.17
- Multiplier
- 3.39x
- User PnL
- -$6.05
No position
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
Ends Aug 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201.34
- Potential profit
- $201.34
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Shenna Bellows win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.4%
- Current value
- $50.8
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $149.2
- Multiplier
- 3.94x
- User PnL
- $10.6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.47K
Yes position
Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
Ends Feb 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.11K
Yes position
Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.47K
No position
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- User PnL
- $970.47
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $967.49
Yes position
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $909.54
Yes position
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $592.8
No position
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Ends Jan 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $480.93
Yes position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $452.28
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $448.45
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $434.84
Yes position
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?
Ends Feb 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.08
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.29
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $358.14
Yes position
Will Eric Ciotti win the 2026 Nice mayoral election?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $346.54
Yes position
Will Israel come in 2nd place at Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.4
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $276.58
No position
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.19
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.78
Yes position
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.9
No position
Government shutdown on Saturday?
Ends Feb 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $247.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $229.68
No position
Will Andy Byron rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $224.95
No position
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.02
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?No 39.2% 510.75 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 34.9% 114.62 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 33.1% 60.48 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?Yes 51% 39.22 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 33% 54.55 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?Yes 52% 34.62 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 32.8% 51.82 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?Yes 52% 38.46 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 30% 16.67 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by 9% or more?Yes 52% 9.62 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 22% 45.45 shares
- Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election by between 6% and 9%?Yes 22% 90.91 shares