Yes position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$84
Polymarket Trader
alexande555
0x789cd0495674e464e94fa9141519288bcd4c3b85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $109.15
- Realized PnL
- $4.35K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 42%
- Current value
- $109.15
- Potential payout
- $259.87
- Potential profit
- $150.72
- Multiplier
- 2.38x
- User PnL
- -$97.71
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Packers position
Packers vs. Lions
Ends Nov 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.23K
Wizards position
Hawks vs. Wizards
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $866.41
No position
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-26?
Ends Nov 26, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $431.57
Stars position
Stars vs. Canadiens
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $181.87
Yes position
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $118.3
Kings position
Kings vs. Jets
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $84
Senators position
Stars vs. Senators
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.12
No position
Iran leadership change by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.31
Utah position
Sharks vs. Utah
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.2
Oilers position
Oilers vs. Blackhawks
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.84
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.78
Canadiens position
Canadiens vs. Capitals
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.55
No position
Will Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Eje'i be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.16
Ducks position
Ducks vs. Hurricanes
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.99
Capitals position
Capitals vs. Predators
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.48
Golden Knights position
Wild vs. Golden Knights
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.47
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.55
Jets position
Avalanche vs. Jets
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.3
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.09
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.9
Thunder position
Pacers vs. Thunder
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.21
Panthers position
Oilers vs. Panthers
Ends Jun 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026No 79.6% 259.87 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Yes 80% 208.9 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?No 93% 165 shares
- Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes 9% 400 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?Yes 14% 600 shares
- Iran leadership change by March 31?No 80% 276.56 shares
- Winter Games 2026: Will USA or Norway earn more medals?Norway 95% 13.09 shares
- Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes 30% 169 shares
- Maduro out in 2025?No 81% 47.83 shares
- Bears vs. EaglesEagles 74% 3,508 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?No 73.9% 11.12 shares
- Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes 72.5% 15.3 shares