Polymarket Trader

LucasCode

0x78ae5696623d174949d0731633f863ab677ad2eb

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $24.81
Realized PnL: $438.91
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $7.89
Potential payout: $384.67
Potential profit: $376.78
Multiplier: 48.78x
User PnL: -$2.11

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $270
Potential profit: $270
User PnL: -$52.2

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $195
Potential profit: $195
User PnL: -$33.73

Yes position

Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$72

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$59

No position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 29.5%
Current value: $11.8
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $28.2
Multiplier: 3.39x
User PnL: -$16.2

Over position

Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Ecuador O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$13.5

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the August meeting?

Ends Aug 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.4%
Current value: $5.13
Potential payout: $20.18
Potential profit: $15.05
Multiplier: 3.94x
User PnL: -$8.39

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.98

Yes position

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.5

Yes position

Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.35

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.9

Yes position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.46

Over position

Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.72

Yes position

No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.36

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $19.13

Yes position

Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.35

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Q1 2026 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.5% and 1.8%?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.96

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.93

Yes position

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate after the May meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.15

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.5

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.37

Over position

Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.37

Yes position

Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.75

Yes position

Will Warsh say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during June Press Conference?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.4

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of Australia increase the target for the cash rate after the May Meeting?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.27

No position

Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.7

Yes position

Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.66

No position

Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate after the May meeting?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.79

Yes position

Will Brazil’s Q4 2025 GDP growth rate (YoY) be between 1.6% and 1.9%?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.07

Yes position

Will the Reserve Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the May decision?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve on January 30, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.84

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 2.6% 384.67 shares
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 72% 100 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 2.5

Over 59% 100 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 99.9% 100 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 30 shares
Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 62% 30 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?

Yes 69% 100 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Over 99.9% 80 shares
Brazil vs. Haiti: Brazil O/U 2.5

Over 64% 80 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 99.9% 100 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 58% 30 shares
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?

Yes 60% 70 shares