Polymarket Trader

vonPommern

0x78ae9adc4b9669f290524a09006f41a686fa143a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.72K
Realized PnL: $12.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $4K
User PnL: -$135.13

Yes position

Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $507.53
Potential payout: $3.5K
Potential profit: $2.99K
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: $52.51

Yes position

Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$310

Yes position

Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$100.64

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.96K
Potential profit: $1.96K
User PnL: -$196.06

Yes position

Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $999.5
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$26.5

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 12.4%
Current value: $123.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $876.5
Multiplier: 8.10x
User PnL: $20.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $56.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $943.5
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: -$6.5

Yes position

Will a player representing Germany be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Aug 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.7%
Current value: $26.5
Potential payout: $999.97
Potential profit: $973.47
Multiplier: 37.74x
User PnL: -$43.5

Yes position

Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.87
Potential profit: $999.87
User PnL: -$37.12

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $999.86
Potential profit: $999.86
User PnL: -$16.82

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $42.85
Potential payout: $963
Potential profit: $920.15
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$5.3

No position

Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $496.11
Potential payout: $787.48
Potential profit: $291.37
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: -$8.23

No position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $761.82
Potential profit: $761.82
User PnL: -$167.72

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $667.58
Potential profit: $667.58
User PnL: -$164.08

Yes position

Will Luka Modrić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $222.53
Potential payout: $601.44
Potential profit: $378.91
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$48.37

Yes position

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $505.06
Potential profit: $505.06
User PnL: -$165.46

No position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$215

Yes position

Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $462.5
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $162.5
Potential payout: $499.99
Potential profit: $337.5
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: $67.5

Yes position

Will Austria win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.97
Potential profit: $499.97
User PnL: -$84.99

Yes position

Will Maja Chwalińska win the 2026 Women’s French Open?

Ends Jun 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $452.63
Potential profit: $452.63
User PnL: -$86

Yes position

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $450
Potential profit: $450
User PnL: -$123

Yes position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $42.45
Potential payout: $446.82
Potential profit: $404.37
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: $15.64

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Knicks position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $935.2

No position

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $888.65

No position

Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $859.37

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $849.45

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $765.64

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $685

Yes position

Will the government shutdown end November 13?

Ends Nov 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.44

No position

Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $631.7

No position

Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $587.4

No position

Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $526.44

Yes position

Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $450

No position

Will Czechia win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $437.46

Yes position

Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-03-19?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $416.5

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $398.56

Yes position

Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-10?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $367.25

No position

Will the Miami Heat make the NBA Playoffs?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $360.1

Yes position

Will Donald Trump say "Maduro" at least ten times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?

Ends Jan 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $350

Yes position

Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.54

Yes position

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?

Ends Jan 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $314.79

Yes position

Will Poland win on 2025-10-12?

Ends Oct 12, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $306.41

Pacers position

Heat vs. Pacers

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $287.7

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $251.06

Yes position

Will the United States win the second most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $241.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 30% 76.6 shares
Will Haissem Hassan score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 92% 25 shares
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?

No 30% 306.43 shares
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

No 43% 500 shares
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?

No 23% 511.82 shares
Will Bruno Guimarães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33% 117.68 shares
Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 58% 506.38 shares
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?

No 46% 250 shares
Chris Wood: 1+ goals

Yes 23% 409.45 shares
Will Neymar Jr. score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 66% 146.49 shares
Federico Valverde: 1+ goals

Yes 25% 260.86 shares
Will Ricardo Pepi score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 29% 101 shares