cicitk

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $105.15
Potential profit: $102.94
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: $0.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $5.86
Potential payout: $103.64
Potential profit: $97.78
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $4.35

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.99
Potential profit: $76.99
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C or below on June 21?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $62.6
Potential profit: $62.44
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.44

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on April 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56
Potential profit: $56
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $3.15
Potential payout: $41.99
Potential profit: $38.84
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: $2.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $40
Potential profit: $40
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $1.37
Potential payout: $34.62
Potential profit: $33.25
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$0.68

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $1.21
Potential payout: $34.62
Potential profit: $33.41
Multiplier: 28.57x
User PnL: -$0.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 29°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $33
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $31.46
Potential profit: $30.17
Multiplier: 24.39x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 26?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $29
User PnL: -$1.02

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C or higher on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on April 18?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28.99
Potential profit: $28.99
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 27°C on April 17?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $28
Potential profit: $28
User PnL: -$1.04

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.99
Potential profit: $27.99
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $0.67
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $25.53
Multiplier: 39.37x
User PnL: -$1.23

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3%
Current value: $0.79
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $25.41
Multiplier: 33.33x
User PnL: -$0.94

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $1.7
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $24.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$0.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 21?

Implied probability: 7%
Current value: $1.83
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $24.37
Multiplier: 14.29x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 21?

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $0.98
Potential payout: $26.2
Potential profit: $25.22
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$1.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C or higher on June 21?

Implied probability: 52.8%
Current value: $13.27
Potential payout: $25.16
Potential profit: $11.89
Multiplier: 1.90x
User PnL: $11.3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C or higher on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$1.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.52

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 23?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.81

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 9°C on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.79

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.63

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.95

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.92

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 13?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.91

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C or higher on March 18?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $7.39

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on April 19?

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 28°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 18?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.88

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 8PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 7PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5PM ET

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 7, 11PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 8PM ET

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - March 8, 4AM ET