No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $2.36K
- Potential profit
- $2.36K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
Polymarket Trader
0x78b3...6dda
0x78b339d6f29d08a202b580b6fa7b06e7fda06dda
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $179.6
- Realized PnL
- $170.54
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.3%
- Current value
- $31.41
- Potential payout
- $205.26
- Potential profit
- $173.86
- Multiplier
- 6.54x
- User PnL
- $19.71
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $50,000 on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.06
- Potential payout
- $128.87
- Potential profit
- $128.81
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.94
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $4.63
- Potential payout
- $120.25
- Potential profit
- $115.62
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$9.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.72
- Potential payout
- $75.29
- Potential profit
- $74.58
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.56
No position
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $14.42
- Potential payout
- $25.98
- Potential profit
- $11.56
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $21.16
- Potential profit
- $11.95
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$1.59
Yes position
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $17.33
- Potential profit
- $13.95
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 22.5%
- Current value
- $3.77
- Potential payout
- $16.77
- Potential profit
- $12.99
- Multiplier
- 4.44x
- User PnL
- -$3.44
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11%
- Current value
- $1.66
- Potential payout
- $15.13
- Potential profit
- $13.47
- Multiplier
- 9.09x
- User PnL
- -$0.61
No position
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $13.85
- Potential payout
- $14.89
- Potential profit
- $1.04
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $14.1
- Potential payout
- $14.11
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $13.68
- Potential payout
- $13.68
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $2.34
No position
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $5.89
- Potential payout
- $13.55
- Potential profit
- $7.65
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Current value
- $12.99
- Potential payout
- $13.25
- Potential profit
- $0.26
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.2%
- Current value
- $2.06
- Potential payout
- $12.71
- Potential profit
- $10.65
- Multiplier
- 6.17x
- User PnL
- -$2.21
No position
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 66.3%
- Current value
- $7.13
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $3.63
- Multiplier
- 1.51x
- User PnL
- $0.1
No position
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $9.09
- Potential payout
- $9.73
- Potential profit
- $0.64
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $8.28
- Potential payout
- $8.42
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $1.49
- Potential payout
- $8.3
- Potential profit
- $6.81
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$4.24
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $7.48
- Potential profit
- $6.62
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.87
- Potential payout
- $6.87
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
N
No position
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 40 million views on week 1?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $6.85
- Potential payout
- $6.86
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $6.04
- Potential payout
- $6.05
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- User PnL
- $0.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $18.36
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $17.82
No position
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 10?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.1
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.32
No position
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.17
Yes position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $8.99
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.6
No position
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 16 to March 18, 2026?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.15
No position
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.11
No position
Will TISZA win 46-50% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.03
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
Yes position
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.53
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.5
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
Ends Sep 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 67.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.48x
- User PnL
- $5.58
Yes position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.15
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 53.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.87x
- User PnL
- $4.37
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.53
No position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
No position
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Tisza win 90–99 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.93
No position
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
No position
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 8?No 94.6% 1.06 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 8?No 83% 1.22 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 8?Yes 71% 1.59 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?Yes 90% 1.39 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on July 7?Yes 98.9% 1.41 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on July 8?Yes 89% 1.74 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?No 97.3% 1.78 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?Yes 94% 2.04 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 3?Yes 95% 2.25 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?No 97% 2.45 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 3?No 96.8% 2.73 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 8?No 97% 3.03 shares