Polymarket Trader

DarkKnightTrader

0x78c34114b040eca7fccec154556c347c4b32171e

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $190.53
Realized PnL: $2.55K
Win rate: 45.8%
Open positions: 15
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $999.65
Potential profit: $999.15
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$172.58

Yes position

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $105.7
Potential payout: $660.6
Potential profit: $554.9
Multiplier: 6.25x
User PnL: $5.7

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 25.1%
Current value: $37.64
Potential payout: $150.25
Potential profit: $112.62
Multiplier: 3.99x
User PnL: -$20.16

Yes position

Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $117.65
Potential profit: $115.94
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$0.29

Yes position

Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $81.24
Potential profit: $80.59
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$1.35

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.88
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $47.13
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$2.13

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 15.5%
Current value: $7.72
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $42.27
Multiplier: 6.47x
User PnL: $3.32

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $5.34
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $40.11
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Current value: $3.85
Potential payout: $37.17
Potential profit: $33.32
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$1.15

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 13.9%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $31.25
Potential profit: $26.92
Multiplier: 7.22x
User PnL: -$0.67

Yes position

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 80.6%
Current value: $14.97
Potential payout: $18.59
Potential profit: $3.62
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $9.97

Yes position

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $17
Potential profit: $14.79
Multiplier: 7.69x
User PnL: $0.51

Yes position

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.8%
Current value: $0.26
Potential payout: $15
Potential profit: $14.74
Multiplier: 57.14x
User PnL: -$2.74

Yes position

Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $14.29
Potential profit: $14.1
Multiplier: 76.92x
User PnL: -$1.81

No position

Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 25.8%
Current value: $2.6
Potential payout: $10.06
Potential profit: $7.46
Multiplier: 3.88x
User PnL: -$5.9

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99.3%
User PnL: $927.47

No position

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 99%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $618.81

Yes position

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $407.17

No position

Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $396.01

Yes position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $136.84

Yes position

Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami Open?

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Yes position

Will Elena Rybakina win the 2026 Women's Australian Open?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.67

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.24

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.7

Yes position

Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.15

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.82

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Vicky Dávila win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.01

Yes position

Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$0.46

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Marin Cilic position

Miami Open: Marin Cilic vs Alexander Zverev

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will The Secret Agent win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Jeff Bezos be 2nd richest person on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.8

Yes position

Will Sergio Fajardo win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Gustavo Petro be charged in the US by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 98.6% 149.63 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 98.3% 2,219.71 shares
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

No 98.5% 1,499.96 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 89% 175.28 shares
Spread: United States (-1.5)

Australia 66% 30.3 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 90% 444.44 shares
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 71% 101.41 shares
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Yes 18% 111.11 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 87% 490 shares
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

Yes 15.1% 660.6 shares
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?

Yes 63% 59.99 shares
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Yes 75% 49.87 shares