No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Polymarket Trader
RustyScissors
0x78c592bd51493e169bc8e1f69be7b6299b66f623
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $2.3
- Realized PnL
- $174.38
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$11.76
No position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.6T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Y
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.4T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.2T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 16, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
o1 FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$8.98
Y
Yes position
Will Cristiano Ronaldo attend any game at the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on June 11, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.6T and $1.8T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$9.97
No position
o1 FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$10.64
Yes position
o1 FDV above $700M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2028- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $499.99
- Potential profit
- $499.99
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $399.99
- Potential profit
- $399.99
- User PnL
- -$11.91
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$9.69
No position
Will OpenAI have the third highest private market valuation on June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.2%
- Current value
- $2.3
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $197.7
- Multiplier
- 86.96x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-3 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
No position
Will Lambda's valuation hit (HIGH) $7.75B by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $200
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.8%
- Multiplier
- 3.73x
- User PnL
- $21.05
No position
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $85 on the final trading day of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 83%
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $19.67
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 50% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $14.62
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.5%
- Multiplier
- 15.38x
- User PnL
- $14.35
Yes position
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $12.05
No position
Will MagicBlock launch a token by June 30, 2027?
Ends Jul 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 15.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.35x
- User PnL
- $8.52
No position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $6.86
No position
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.2%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $6.82
Yes position
Felix Protocol FDV above $50M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 18.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.49x
- User PnL
- $6.3
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,400 by end of June? (copy)
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- $5.57
Yes position
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-1 be the exact series outcome?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.38
Yes position
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Multiplier
- 32.26x
- User PnL
- $5.27
No position
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 35.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.82x
- User PnL
- $5.26
No position
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on June 20, 2026?
Ends Jun 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Multiplier
- 44.44x
- User PnL
- $4.72
Yes position
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 20.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.88x
- User PnL
- $4.57
No position
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $4.31
Yes position
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 32.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.08x
- User PnL
- $3.84
No position
Will Cambria launch a token by September 30, 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $3.82
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 23.5%
- Multiplier
- 4.26x
- User PnL
- $3.76
Yes position
FDA approves GSK & Spero Therapeutics' Tebipenem HBr?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will OpenAI announce a ring in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- $3.63
No position
Will the Netherlands send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92%
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $3.5
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.43
No position
Hyperbeat FDV above $25M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 85%
- Multiplier
- 1.18x
- User PnL
- $3.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Claude go down 6-8 times in June?No 45% 17.59 shares
- Will UK annual inflation be between 2.5% and 2.7% in June?No 70% 9.72 shares
- Will Hurupay launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes 25% 22.57 shares
- Will ECDSA.fail get at least 50% ahead of Google’s classified circuit by June 30, 2026?No 60% 17.3 shares
- Will Tabi launch a token by December 31, 2026?Yes 42% 16.27 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 29% 1.78 shares
- Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?No 30% 20.09 shares
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes 26% 24.13 shares
- Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 15-June 21?No 64% 0.1 shares
- Will Claude go down 9-11 times in June?Yes 38% 3.86 shares
- Will South Africa finish last in Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?Yes 57% 2.83 shares
- Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?No 65% 3.27 shares